Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:25
Race 8
Group 3
1400m
Course C+3
14 runners
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Group 3 over 1400m. MY WISH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MY WISH Closed strongly 1:20.79 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 2.2 | — |
| 2 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 10 | 103.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 6 | 48.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | PACKING HERMOD B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 7 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 14 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | PATCH OF THETA C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | JOHANNES BRAHMS A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 5 | 209.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 12 | 156.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 9 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 14 | MARKWIN H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 11 | 25.0 | 3 |
| 13 | 11 | PRAY FOR MIR Led early M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | DIVANO Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 13 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick LIGHT YEARS CHARM (27.6%) finished 7th — the winner MY WISH was rated #2.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 27.6% | 3.62 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | MY WISH | 19.2% | 5.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | PACKING HERMOD | 12.1% | 8.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 6.5% | 15.47 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | RUBYLOT | 5.9% | 16.84 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | PATCH OF THETA | 5.8% | 17.20 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | PRAY FOR MIR | 4.4% | 22.55 | 13 |
| 8 | 13 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 3.8% | 26.06 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | MARKWIN | 3.8% | 26.20 | 12 |
| 10 | 2 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 2.8% | 35.89 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 2.4% | 41.82 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.2% | 46.29 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | DIVANO | 1.8% | 54.85 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 1.6% | 62.04 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 7
Race 9 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m
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