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Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 16:44

Race 8

Group 3 1400m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:20.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 MY WISH Closed strongly 1:20.79 L Ferraris · M Newnham 4 2.2 —
2 2 COPARTNER PRANCE K De Melo · K W Lui 10 103.0 1-1/4
3 1 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly A Badel · F C Lor 6 48.0 1-1/2
4 6 PACKING HERMOD B Avdulla · K W Lui 7 6.1 1-1/2
5 9 RUBYLOT Closed strongly H Bowman · D A Hayes 14 20.0 2-1/4
6 3 PATCH OF THETA C Y Ho · K W Lui 3 16.0 2-1/2
7 12 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly Z Purton · D Eustace 2 3.8 2-1/2
8 13 JOHANNES BRAHMS A Atzeni · P C Ng 1 12.0 2-3/4
9 5 MOMENTS IN TIME R Kingscote · C S Shum 5 209.0 2-3/4
10 4 VICTOR THE WINNER C L Chau · D Eustace 12 156.0 3
11 7 SUNLIGHT POWER J Orman · P F Yiu 9 45.0 3
12 14 MARKWIN H Bentley · W K Mo 11 25.0 3
13 11 PRAY FOR MIR Led early M Chadwick · W K Mo 8 32.0 3-3/4
14 10 DIVANO Y L Chung · K W Lui 13 60.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Group 3 over 1400m. MY WISH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won, with COPARTNER PRANCE second and HAPPY TOGETHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY WISH—2. COPARTNER PRANCE+1.25L3. HAPPY TOGETHER+1.5L4. PACKING HERMOD+1.5L5. RUBYLOT+2.25L6. PATCH OF THETA+2.5L7. LIGHT YEARS CHARM+2.5L8. JOHANNES BRAHMS+2.75L9. MOMENTS IN TIME+2.75L10. VICTOR THE WINNER+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick LIGHT YEARS CHARM (27.6%) finished 7th — the winner MY WISH was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 27.6% 3.62 7
2 8 MY WISH 19.2% 5.21 1
3 6 PACKING HERMOD 12.1% 8.26 4
4 1 HAPPY TOGETHER 6.5% 15.47 3
5 9 RUBYLOT 5.9% 16.84 5
6 3 PATCH OF THETA 5.8% 17.20 6
7 11 PRAY FOR MIR 4.4% 22.55 13
8 13 JOHANNES BRAHMS 3.8% 26.06 8
9 14 MARKWIN 3.8% 26.20 12
10 2 COPARTNER PRANCE 2.8% 35.89 2
11 7 SUNLIGHT POWER 2.4% 41.82 11
12 4 VICTOR THE WINNER 2.2% 46.29 10
13 10 DIVANO 1.8% 54.85 14
14 5 MOMENTS IN TIME 1.6% 62.04 9
LIGHT YEARS CHARMMY WISH — wonPACKING HERMODHAPPY TOGETHERRUBYLOTPATCH OF THETAPRAY FOR MIRJOHANNES BRAHMSMARKWINCOPARTNER PRANCESUNLIGHT POWERVICTOR THE WINNERDIVANOMOMENTS IN TIME

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.