Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:25
Race 9
Class 2
1200m
Course C+3
11 runners
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 2 over 1200m. TOMODACHI KOKOROE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won, with DANCING CODE second and MID WINTER WIND third. The 3.5 favourite DANCING CODE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE 1:07.76 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 4 | DANCING CODE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | MID WINTER WIND L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 4.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUNG CHAMPION B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 4 | 16.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 45.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | GORGEOUS WIN H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 10 | 9.9 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BRAVE STAR A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 8 | 124.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SING DRAGON K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 11 | 16.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CALL ME GLORIOUS M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 1 | 8.0 | 9-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick DANCING CODE (28.5%) finished 2nd — the winner TOMODACHI KOKOROE was rated #7.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DANCING CODE | 28.5% | 3.51 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 13.4% | 7.45 | 11 |
| 3 | 8 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 13.1% | 7.63 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | GORGEOUS WIN | 8.9% | 11.21 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 8.8% | 11.41 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 6.4% | 15.72 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 5.7% | 17.68 | 1 |
| 8 | 9 | SING DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.74 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 4.8% | 21.02 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | MID WINTER WIND | 3.0% | 33.73 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | BRAVE STAR | 2.8% | 36.26 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 8
Race 10 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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