Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:25
Race 7
Class 3
1200m
Course C+3
12 runners
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 3 over 1200m. LITTLE PARADISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won, with STAR RISE second and AHREN third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LITTLE PARADISE 1:08.73 Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 4 | 1.3 | — |
| 2 | 5 | STAR RISE M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 45.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | AHREN K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 2 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | STORM RIDER L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 6 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 33.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | TRIUMPHANT MORE C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 3 | 66.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPERB BOY R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 9 | 55.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | KING OF FIGHTERS A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | OTOKOMAE D Probert · C H Yip | D Probert | C H Yip | 10 | 59.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 12 | 27.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | THE REVOLUTION Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 1 | 72.0 | 10-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick LITTLE PARADISE (46.1%) won this race.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LITTLE PARADISE | 46.1% | 2.17 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | AHREN | 16.2% | 6.16 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 8.4% | 11.89 | 9 |
| 4 | 12 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 7.6% | 13.10 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 7.6% | 13.12 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | STORM RIDER | 3.6% | 27.54 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | DEVAS TWELVE | 3.4% | 29.20 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPERB BOY | 1.8% | 56.15 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | STAR RISE | 1.7% | 57.47 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 1.6% | 62.24 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | THE REVOLUTION | 1.0% | 102.65 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | OTOKOMAE | 0.9% | 111.92 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.
← Race 6
Race 8 →
This meeting
Draw bias · Sha Tin 1200m
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