Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:23

Race 11

Class 3 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:34.07
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 POPE CODY Closed strongly 1:34.07 J Orman · Y S Tsui 3 15.0 —
2 13 MASTER TRILLION Closed strongly A Atzeni · F C Lor 5 86.0 HD
3 5 BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz 4 2.8 1-1/4
4 14 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes 6 11.0 1-3/4
5 4 YUEN LONG ELITE M L Yeung · K L Man 12 3.7 1-3/4
6 8 WINNING WING Closed strongly H T Mo · K W Lui 14 9.4 2-3/4
7 2 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 13 54.0 2-3/4
8 11 FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B Avdulla · C Fownes 9 7.2 4
9 10 ENDEARED A Badel · J Size 1 11.0 4-1/2
10 3 SNOWFIELD Closed strongly C Y Ho · M Newnham 10 113.0 5
11 1 WINNING GOLD R Kingscote · W Y So 11 28.0 6-1/4
12 6 AESTHETICISM P N Wong · P C Ng 7 105.0 8
13 7 PANACEA D Probert · P F Yiu 2 39.0 8-1/2
14 12 GREY CHARGER Led early H Bentley · D Eustace 8 271.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 3 over 1600m. POPE CODY, ridden by J Orman and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with MASTER TRILLION second and BEAUTY BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite BEAUTY BOLT finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. POPE CODY—2. MASTER TRILLION+0.2L3. BEAUTY BOLT+1.25L4. FORTUNE BOY+1.75L5. YUEN LONG ELITE+1.75L6. WINNING WING+2.75L7. ATULLIBIGEAL+2.75L8. FLYING LUCK+4L9. ENDEARED+4.5L10. SNOWFIELD+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BEAUTY BOLT (35.1%) finished 3rd — the winner POPE CODY was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 BEAUTY BOLT 35.1% 2.85 3
2 14 FORTUNE BOY 17.5% 5.72 4
3 10 ENDEARED 6.9% 14.52 9
4 4 YUEN LONG ELITE 6.8% 14.70 5
5 11 FLYING LUCK 6.2% 16.05 8
6 8 WINNING WING 5.1% 19.59 6
7 9 POPE CODY 5.0% 19.80 1
8 2 ATULLIBIGEAL 4.9% 20.25 7
9 1 WINNING GOLD 3.3% 30.32 11
10 6 AESTHETICISM 2.7% 36.40 12
11 3 SNOWFIELD 2.3% 43.34 10
12 13 MASTER TRILLION 2.2% 45.86 2
13 7 PANACEA 0.9% 106.26 13
14 12 GREY CHARGER 0.9% 114.29 14
BEAUTY BOLTFORTUNE BOYENDEAREDYUEN LONG ELITEFLYING LUCKWINNING WINGPOPE CODY — wonATULLIBIGEALWINNING GOLDAESTHETICISMSNOWFIELDMASTER TRILLIONPANACEAGREY CHARGER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.