Sha Tin · 2025-09-28 · 18:25
Race 11
Class 3
1600m
Course C+3
14 runners
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-09-28 was Class 3 over 1600m. POPE CODY, ridden by J Orman and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with MASTER TRILLION second and BEAUTY BOLT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite BEAUTY BOLT finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | POPE CODY Closed strongly 1:34.07 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 3 | 15.0 | — |
| 2 | 13 | MASTER TRILLION Closed strongly A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 5 | 86.0 | HD |
| 3 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | YUEN LONG ELITE M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING WING Closed strongly H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 14 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 13 | 54.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 9 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | ENDEARED A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 1 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | SNOWFIELD Closed strongly C Y Ho · M Newnham | C Y Ho | M Newnham | 10 | 113.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 1 | WINNING GOLD R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 11 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | AESTHETICISM P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 105.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | PANACEA D Probert · P F Yiu | D Probert | P F Yiu | 2 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | GREY CHARGER Led early H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 8 | 271.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
The model's top pick BEAUTY BOLT (35.1%) finished 3rd — the winner POPE CODY was rated #7.
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT | 35.1% | 2.85 | 3 |
| 2 | 14 | FORTUNE BOY | 17.5% | 5.72 | 4 |
| 3 | 10 | ENDEARED | 6.9% | 14.52 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 6.8% | 14.70 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | FLYING LUCK | 6.2% | 16.05 | 8 |
| 6 | 8 | WINNING WING | 5.1% | 19.59 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | POPE CODY | 5.0% | 19.80 | 1 |
| 8 | 2 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 4.9% | 20.25 | 7 |
| 9 | 1 | WINNING GOLD | 3.3% | 30.32 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | AESTHETICISM | 2.7% | 36.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | SNOWFIELD | 2.3% | 43.34 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | MASTER TRILLION | 2.2% | 45.86 | 2 |
| 13 | 7 | PANACEA | 0.9% | 106.26 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | GREY CHARGER | 0.9% | 114.29 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
No dividends recorded for this race.