Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 4 over 1000m. BEAUTY THUNDER, ridden by A Badel and trained by W K Mo, won, with ZETA HEDGE second and LEAN MASTER third. The 2.4 favourite SUPER SIXTY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BEAUTY THUNDER 0:56.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 3 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 5 | ZETA HEDGE C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 6 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | LEAN MASTER Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER SIXTY H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | WARRIORS DREAM R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 12 | 76.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | SAVVY TWINKLE Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY BOYS L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | KING VICTOR C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | MASTER RESOLUTE E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 1 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ZOUPER FELLOW K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 4 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | CONRAD THE GREAT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 8 | 44.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 3 | FIELD MARSHAL R Kingscote · D A Hayes | R Kingscote | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPER SIXTY | 28.3% | 3.53 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 12.3% | 8.10 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SAVVY TWINKLE | 12.1% | 8.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | LEAN MASTER | 9.1% | 11.01 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | HAPPY BOYS | 7.7% | 12.94 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 7.4% | 13.45 | 9 |
| 7 | 6 | ZOUPER FELLOW | 6.0% | 16.60 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | MASTER RESOLUTE | 5.3% | 19.04 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | KING VICTOR | 4.5% | 22.44 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | ZETA HEDGE | 4.2% | 24.05 | 2 |
| 11 | 7 | CONRAD THE GREAT | 1.7% | 59.37 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | WARRIORS DREAM | 1.5% | 67.89 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 38
PLACE
1 27
5 57
9 13.5
QUINELLA
5,9 590
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 341.5
1,9 67
5,9 151.5
FORECAST
9,5 983
TIERCE
9,5,1 8,496
TRIO
1,5,9 1,620
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 575
QUARTET
9,5,1,2 23,654