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Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 13:15

Race 6

Class 2 1000m Course B 9 runners

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 2 over 1000m. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won, with COLOURFUL KING second and SUPERB CAPITALIST third. The 2.7 favourite COLOURFUL KING finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0:56.23
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 0:56.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham 4 4.2
2 5 COLOURFUL KING A Atzeni · D Eustace 8 2.7 1-1/4
3 4 SUPERB CAPITALIST M Chadwick · A S Cruz 6 7.0 1-1/2
4 1 AURORA LADY M L Yeung · P C Ng 5 19.0 3-3/4
5 2 HORSEPOWER Z Purton · F C Lor 3 5.2 4-1/2
6 7 WHIZZ KID H Bentley · A S Cruz 2 14.0 5-1/4
7 6 STELLAR EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size 1 25.0 6-1/2
8 3 RED ELEGANCE H Bowman · D J Whyte 7 22.0 7
9 8 HARMONY N BLESSED K Teetan · D A Hayes 9 13.0 7-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS2. COLOURFUL KING+1.25L3. SUPERB CAPITALIST+1.5L4. AURORA LADY+3.75L5. HORSEPOWER+4.5L6. WHIZZ KID+5.25L7. STELLAR EXPRESS+6.5L8. RED ELEGANCE+7L9. HARMONY N BLESSED+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HORSEPOWER (21.1%) finished 5th — the winner YOUTHFUL SPIRITS was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 HORSEPOWER 21.1% 4.73 5
2 9 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 16.5% 6.06 1
3 5 COLOURFUL KING 13.8% 7.25 2
4 8 HARMONY N BLESSED 11.3% 8.89 9
5 7 WHIZZ KID 10.9% 9.17 6
6 4 SUPERB CAPITALIST 9.8% 10.22 3
7 3 RED ELEGANCE 6.4% 15.55 8
8 6 STELLAR EXPRESS 5.4% 18.44 7
9 1 AURORA LADY 4.8% 20.93 4
HORSEPOWERYOUTHFUL SPIRITS — wonCOLOURFUL KINGHARMONY N BLESSEDWHIZZ KIDSUPERB CAPITALISTRED ELEGANCESTELLAR EXPRESSAURORA LADY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 42

PLACE

4 20.5

5 12

9 16

QUINELLA

5,9 72

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 37.5

4,9 50

5,9 31

FORECAST

9,5 165

TIERCE

9,5,4 791

TRIO

4,5,9 133

FIRST 4

1,4,5,9 355

QUARTET

9,5,4,1 5,877

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

3/5 39

3/9 225.5