Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 11:45
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. LOOKS OUTSTANDING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won, with YEE CHEONG SPIRIT second and WRITTEN CASA third. The 3.7 favourite KNOW AT HEART finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING 1:09.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 9.2 | — |
| 2 | 5 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | WRITTEN CASA H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 10 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | KNOW AT HEART M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT H Bentley · D Eustace | H Bentley | D Eustace | 2 | 6.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MEGA BONUS B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 3 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | GASTRONOMIQUE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | ISLAND BREEZES A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 6 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HAPPY PARK A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 12 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 11 | 84.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN D Probert · D J Whyte | D Probert | D J Whyte | 1 | 51.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | PATCH OF WATCH | 21.2% | 4.72 | 8 |
| 2 | 11 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 15.9% | 6.28 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | KNOW AT HEART | 11.3% | 8.83 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | MEGA BONUS | 9.3% | 10.70 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | YEE CHEONG SPIRIT | 8.8% | 11.34 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | GASTRONOMIQUE | 8.0% | 12.50 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | ISLAND BREEZES | 7.3% | 13.64 | 9 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY PARK | 5.5% | 18.26 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | WRITTEN CASA | 5.3% | 18.97 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING | 4.1% | 24.51 | 1 |
| 11 | 4 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT | 1.9% | 53.98 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN | 1.4% | 71.40 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 92
PLACE
2 58.5
5 31
10 30.5
QUINELLA
5,10 591
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 327
2,10 327.5
5,10 195
FORECAST
10,5 958
TIERCE
10,5,2 18,195
TRIO
2,5,10 3,629
FIRST 4
2,5,7,10 3,115
QUARTET
10,5,2,7 101,561
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,10/2,5,10 253,435
2ND DOUBLE
9/5 35.5
9/10 716