Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 5 over 1200m. TALENTS SUPREMO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won, with RUN RUN TIMING second and PODIUM third. The 2.1 favourite RUN RUN TIMING finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO 1:09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.6 | — |
| 2 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.1 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | PODIUM C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 12 | 73.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY HORSE Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 6 | 91.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | COLONEL K De Melo · J Richards | K De Melo | J Richards | 4 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | GLORY CLOUD E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | JOYFUL TREASURE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 27.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | WISDOM STAR M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 9 | 164.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | WINNING HEART H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 8 | 46.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | CAMP FIRE L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 5 | 30.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | WOODFIRE CHAMP K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 7 | 14.0 | 11-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RUN RUN TIMING | 26.5% | 3.77 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 23.4% | 4.27 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE | 13.0% | 7.69 | 9 |
| 4 | 4 | WINNING HEART | 7.9% | 12.73 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | GLORY CLOUD | 4.9% | 20.28 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | CAMP FIRE | 4.8% | 20.70 | 11 |
| 7 | 10 | PODIUM | 4.5% | 22.27 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 4.4% | 22.49 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | COLONEL | 3.9% | 25.53 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | JOYFUL TREASURE | 2.9% | 34.67 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPY HORSE | 2.4% | 41.43 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | WISDOM STAR | 1.3% | 79.64 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 26
PLACE
3 13
9 10.5
10 107.5
QUINELLA
3,9 28.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 15.5
3,10 179
9,10 170
FORECAST
9,3 66
TIERCE
9,3,10 1,153
TRIO
3,9,10 383
FIRST 4
3,6,9,10 4,011
QUARTET
9,3,10,6 26,447
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/3 28.5
9/9 146