Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 13:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 4 over 1200m. SILVER SPURS, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won, with GOLDEN LUCK second and GRAND NOVA third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SILVER SPURS 1:10.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 1.5 | — |
| 2 | 10 | GOLDEN LUCK K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | GRAND NOVA B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 5 | 90.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | BASIC INSTINCT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 146.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | REWARDING TWINKLE M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 7.8 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | SHOTGUN M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 77.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 8 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | ACE POWER L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 3 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | YOUNG STRIKER K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 7 | 77.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | ABSOLUTE LUCKY A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 62.0 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SILVER SPURS | 39.7% | 2.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SIGHT HAPPY | 12.8% | 7.82 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 11.3% | 8.86 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | ACE POWER | 9.2% | 10.85 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | GRAND NOVA | 5.4% | 18.40 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | GOLDEN LUCK | 5.1% | 19.55 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 4.5% | 22.39 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | SHOTGUN | 4.3% | 23.36 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 3.3% | 29.94 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | ABSOLUTE LUCKY | 2.0% | 49.22 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | BASIC INSTINCT | 1.3% | 75.57 | 5 |
| 12 | 9 | YOUNG STRIKER | 1.1% | 94.01 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 15.5
PLACE
1 36.5
8 12
10 22
QUINELLA
8,10 67
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 65
1,10 192
8,10 32.5
FORECAST
8,10 114
TIERCE
8,10,1 1,108
TRIO
1,8,10 386
FIRST 4
1,6,8,10 4,374
QUARTET
8,10,1,6 34,426
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/1,8,10 9,155
6TH DOUBLE
9/8 97.5
9/10 83
TRIPLE TRIO
3,6,9/4,5,9/1,8,10 847,031
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,6,9/4,5,9/Any Combination 2,066