Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly 1:39.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 1 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 9 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS Closed strongly L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 11 | 19.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 6 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly H T Mo · D Eustace | H T Mo | D Eustace | 5 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 12 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | SUPER SICARIO K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 4.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TO INFINITY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 10 | 33.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | SMART TRIO Closed strongly M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 7 | 127.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | ONE AND ONLY K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 64.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | GOOD LUCK WIN Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 27.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | CALIFORNIA BAY Led early B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.3 | 13-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 4 over 1650m. SUPER UNICORN, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won, with CONSPIRACY WITNESS second and TAKE ACTION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite CALIFORNIA BAY finished 12th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | TAKE ACTION | 25.5% | 3.92 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | QUANTUM PATCH | 22.7% | 4.41 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER SICARIO | 14.1% | 7.09 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER UNICORN | 10.2% | 9.84 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 9.2% | 10.85 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 4.6% | 21.55 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | TO INFINITY | 3.4% | 29.20 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | TURIN WARRIOR | 3.1% | 31.90 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | RAGGA BOMB | 2.8% | 36.24 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 1.8% | 55.64 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | SMART TRIO | 1.6% | 64.31 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | ONE AND ONLY | 1.0% | 99.86 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 44.5
PLACE
3 17
6 20
9 51.5
QUINELLA
3,9 507.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 48.5
3,9 154
6,9 192.5
FORECAST
3,9 905
TIERCE
3,9,6 4,674
TRIO
3,6,9 919
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 908
QUARTET
3,9,6,1 24,382
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/9/3 4,282
10/9/9 3,011
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5,9,11/3,6,9 35,192
4TH DOUBLE
9/3 360.5
9/9 206