Happy Valley · 2025-10-22 · 14:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-10-22 was Class 3 over 1200m. AKASHVANI, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with TRIUMPHANT MORE second and KING LOTUS third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | AKASHVANI 1:09.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT MORE C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | KING LOTUS L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 2 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | SUPERB BOY M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 56.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | SOVEREIGN FUND K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 11 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | STORMING DRAGON B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 6 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GOKO WIN K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 39.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 9 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NOT USUAL PICK D Probert · W Y So | D Probert | W Y So | 3 | 50.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | MASTER CHAMPION M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 53.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 23.1% | 4.32 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | AKASHVANI | 22.3% | 4.48 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | KING LOTUS | 19.3% | 5.18 | 3 |
| 4 | 12 | GOKO WIN | 5.7% | 17.56 | 9 |
| 5 | 2 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 5.2% | 19.30 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | STORMING DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.78 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 4.7% | 21.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | MASTER CHAMPION | 4.1% | 24.15 | 12 |
| 9 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT | 3.6% | 28.04 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | TRIUMPHANT MORE | 3.0% | 33.74 | 2 |
| 11 | 10 | NOT USUAL PICK | 2.2% | 46.45 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | SUPERB BOY | 2.1% | 48.06 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 28
PLACE
4 42
6 14
8 13.5
QUINELLA
4,8 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 80
4,8 81.5
6,8 22
FORECAST
8,4 467
TIERCE
8,4,6 1,276
TRIO
4,6,8 230
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 225
QUARTET
8,4,6,9 6,027
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
8/5/4 159
8/5/8 100
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/4,6,8 12,066
8TH DOUBLE
5/4 85.5
5/8 59.5
SIX UP
5,9/3,9/5,9/8,10/4,5/4,8 1,737
9/3/9/8/5/8 13,589
3 [M Newnham] —
1 [Z Purton] —