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Happy Valley · 2025-11-12 · 11:15

Race 2

Class 5 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-12 was Class 5 over 1200m. DOUBLE BINGO, ridden by M F Poon and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with RIDING HIGH second and KING ALLOY third. The 3.6 favourite TALENTS SUPREMO finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1:09.68
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 DOUBLE BINGO 1:09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · Y S Tsui 2 7.8
2 10 RIDING HIGH H Bowman · D J Whyte 4 4.2 SH
3 2 KING ALLOY R Kingscote · K H Ting 5 11.0 N
4 6 GOOD PROSPECT K C Leung · B Crawford 8 22.0 3/4
5 5 CHILL MASTER C L Chau · K L Man 6 45.0 1-1/2
6 1 HAPPY BOYS L Hewitson · M Newnham 9 18.0 1-1/2
7 8 TALENTS SUPREMO Z Purton · C S Shum 7 3.6 1-1/2
8 3 MAJESTIC DELIGHT L Ferraris · D Eustace 3 15.0 2-1/4
9 4 RICH HORSE J Orman · D J Hall 11 119.0 6
10 7 SKY SONG E C W Wong · C Fownes 1 4.9 6-1/4
11 9 BEAUTY FORMULA Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 104.0 19
12 11 NOBLE DELUXE J McDonald · J Size 10 12.0 23-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DOUBLE BINGO2. RIDING HIGH+0.1L3. KING ALLOY+0.05L4. GOOD PROSPECT+0.75L5. CHILL MASTER+1.5L6. HAPPY BOYS+1.5L7. TALENTS SUPREMO+1.5L8. MAJESTIC DELIGHT+2.25L9. RICH HORSE+6L10. SKY SONG+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TALENTS SUPREMO (24.4%) finished 7th — the winner DOUBLE BINGO was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 TALENTS SUPREMO 24.4% 4.10 7
2 7 SKY SONG 19.3% 5.19 10
3 3 MAJESTIC DELIGHT 10.6% 9.39 8
4 12 DOUBLE BINGO 10.6% 9.48 1
5 10 RIDING HIGH 9.3% 10.81 2
6 11 NOBLE DELUXE 5.7% 17.54 12
7 6 GOOD PROSPECT 4.9% 20.60 4
8 2 KING ALLOY 4.6% 21.93 3
9 1 HAPPY BOYS 4.5% 22.41 6
10 5 CHILL MASTER 2.5% 40.09 5
11 4 RICH HORSE 2.3% 43.58 9
12 9 BEAUTY FORMULA 1.5% 64.94 11
TALENTS SUPREMOSKY SONGMAJESTIC DELIGHTDOUBLE BINGO — wonRIDING HIGHNOBLE DELUXEGOOD PROSPECTKING ALLOYHAPPY BOYSCHILL MASTERRICH HORSEBEAUTY FORMULA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 78.5

PLACE

2 34

10 15.5

12 23.5

QUINELLA

10,12 165

QUINELLA PLACE

2,10 121.5

2,12 136

10,12 59.5

FORECAST

12,10 418

TIERCE

12,10,2 3,937

TRIO

2,10,12 809

FIRST 4

2,6,10,12 2,790

QUARTET

12,10,2,6 53,311

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/10 111

6/12 705.5