Happy Valley · 2025-11-12 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. KING OBERON, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D J Whyte, won, with PEJIBAYE second and CALIFORNIA BAY third. The 3.8 favourite PEJIBAYE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KING OBERON 1:09.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 21.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | PEJIBAYE E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BAY Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | EVERSTAR J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 31.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER UNIVERSAL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | NEW POWER Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 12 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | LEATHER GOODS C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 8 | 52.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | WATCH THIS ONE P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 31.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | RELIABLE DAD A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 7 | 66.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | PROUD BOX H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 2 | 9.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ISLAND BUDDY M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 3 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 11 | GLORIOUS KINGDOM B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PEJIBAYE | 15.1% | 6.61 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | LOOKS OUTSTANDING | 14.5% | 6.92 | 8 |
| 3 | 10 | SUPER UNIVERSAL | 13.8% | 7.27 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | ISLAND BUDDY | 10.1% | 9.95 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | NEW POWER | 9.0% | 11.16 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 8.1% | 12.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | PROUD BOX | 7.6% | 13.07 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | RELIABLE DAD | 6.2% | 16.06 | 10 |
| 9 | 8 | KING OBERON | 5.2% | 19.26 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | WATCH THIS ONE | 4.5% | 22.13 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | EVERSTAR | 3.2% | 30.82 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | LEATHER GOODS | 2.7% | 36.41 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 219.5
PLACE
1 17
4 21
8 52
QUINELLA
1,8 450.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 51.5
1,8 139.5
4,8 147
FORECAST
8,1 1,192
TIERCE
8,1,4 8,197
TRIO
1,4,8 768
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 3,683
QUARTET
8,1,4,2 115,439
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
11/1 649
11/8 16,669