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Happy Valley · 2025-11-12 · 11:45

Race 3

Class 4 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-12 was Class 4 over 1650m. BEAUTY GLORY, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with BULL ATTITUDE second and AEROINVINCIBLE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite BULL ATTITUDE finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:39.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 BEAUTY GLORY Wire to wire 1:39.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 6.5
2 8 BULL ATTITUDE Closed strongly Z Purton · M Newnham 7 3.9 N
3 3 AEROINVINCIBLE C Y Ho · P C Ng 5 7.5 1/2
4 4 AMAZING GAZE Closed strongly L Hewitson · D A Hayes 1 4.0 1/2
5 9 CALIFORNIA BANNER M Chadwick · W K Mo 9 14.0 1-1/2
6 12 REWARDING TWINKLE K C Leung · F C Lor 4 9.1 2
7 11 LESLIE Closed strongly M F Poon · C W Chang 3 12.0 2-1/4
8 6 RAGGA BOMB H T Mo · D Eustace 6 31.0 2-1/4
9 7 GOOD LUCK WIN H Doyle · K H Ting 8 26.0 5-1/4
10 5 FORERUNNER Closed strongly H Bowman · W K Mo 11 19.0 5-1/2
11 10 DR GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size 12 47.0 7-1/4
12 1 COLOURFUL KNIGHT P N Wong · C S Shum 10 58.0 15

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY GLORY2. BULL ATTITUDE+0.05L3. AEROINVINCIBLE+0.5L4. AMAZING GAZE+0.5L5. CALIFORNIA BANNER+1.5L6. REWARDING TWINKLE+2L7. LESLIE+2.25L8. RAGGA BOMB+2.25L9. GOOD LUCK WIN+5.25L10. FORERUNNER+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BULL ATTITUDE (26.2%) finished 2nd — the winner BEAUTY GLORY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 BULL ATTITUDE 26.2% 3.82 2
2 4 AMAZING GAZE 23.4% 4.27 4
3 3 AEROINVINCIBLE 11.8% 8.45 3
4 2 BEAUTY GLORY 9.2% 10.85 1
5 12 REWARDING TWINKLE 7.3% 13.77 6
6 11 LESLIE 5.0% 20.12 7
7 5 FORERUNNER 4.4% 22.83 10
8 9 CALIFORNIA BANNER 4.2% 23.69 5
9 6 RAGGA BOMB 3.5% 28.52 8
10 7 GOOD LUCK WIN 2.5% 40.21 9
11 10 DR GOLDEN GENERAL 1.4% 69.34 11
12 1 COLOURFUL KNIGHT 1.1% 90.30 12
BULL ATTITUDEAMAZING GAZEAEROINVINCIBLEBEAUTY GLORY — wonREWARDING TWINKLELESLIEFORERUNNERCALIFORNIA BANNERRAGGA BOMBGOOD LUCK WINDR GOLDEN GENERALCOLOURFUL KNIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 65

PLACE

2 22

3 25

8 16

QUINELLA

2,8 125

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 86

2,8 48.5

3,8 58.5

FORECAST

2,8 296

TIERCE

2,8,3 2,139

TRIO

2,3,8 367

FIRST 4

2,3,4,8 227

QUARTET

2,8,3,4 7,925

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,10,12/2,3,8 29,129

2ND DOUBLE

12/2 652.5

12/8 81