Happy Valley · 2025-11-12 · 22:53
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | HUGE WAVE Closed strongly 1:38.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 7 | 8.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | SKY HEART Closed strongly H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 9 | 6.8 | N |
| 3 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | KEEFY Closed strongly M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | FALLON Closed strongly M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 9.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | SPEED DRAGON Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | SING DRAGON L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GUSTOSISIMO H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | MARKWIN H Doyle · W K Mo | H Doyle | W K Mo | 2 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 10 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 23.0 | 11 |
| — | 2 | TAJ DRAGON J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | — | 30.0 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-12 was Class 2 over 1650m. HUGE WAVE, ridden by A Badel and trained by K H Ting, won, with SKY HEART second and SOLEIL FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite SPEED DRAGON finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPEED DRAGON | 27.0% | 3.70 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 15.7% | 6.37 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | GUSTOSISIMO | 13.2% | 7.60 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | MARKWIN | 10.2% | 9.84 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | HUGE WAVE | 6.9% | 14.54 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | SING DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.30 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | SKY HEART | 6.3% | 15.99 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | KEEFY | 4.5% | 22.07 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 4.4% | 22.54 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | FALLON | 3.5% | 28.32 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | MR ASCENDENCY | 1.8% | 57.04 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 89.5
PLACE
5 16
10 30.5
11 29
QUINELLA
10,11 306
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 77
5,11 67.5
10,11 106
FORECAST
10,11 667
TIERCE
10,11,5 4,316
TRIO
5,10,11 567
FIRST 4
5,8,10,11 1,871
QUARTET
10,11,5,8 45,445
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
1/1/10 20,052
1/1/11 4,268
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/5,10,11 63,190
8TH DOUBLE
1/10 3,439.5
1/11 655
SIX UP
6,8/2,11/1,8/1,4/1,11/10,11 22,527
1 [Z Purton] —
12 [K H Ting] —