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Happy Valley · 2025-11-12 · 12:45

Race 5

Class 4 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-11-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. TEAM TEAM FOLKS, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by K H Ting, won, with ROBOT LUCKY STAR second and SILVER SPURS third. The 2.3 favourite ROBOT LUCKY STAR finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1:09.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 TEAM TEAM FOLKS 1:09.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · K H Ting 12 83.0
2 2 ROBOT LUCKY STAR Z Purton · K L Man 5 2.3 3/4
3 8 SILVER SPURS E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 9.0 3/4
4 9 KING GLORIOSO L Ferraris · D J Whyte 6 18.0 2
5 7 STAR FIGURE J McDonald · J Richards 3 3.4 2-1/4
6 5 MEGA BONUS A Atzeni · P F Yiu 11 35.0 3-3/4
7 6 CIRCUIT GOGO M F Poon · D J Hall 1 40.0 4-1/4
8 3 MASTER PHOENIX C L Chau · D Eustace 4 12.0 4-1/2
9 4 LEAN MASTER H Doyle · C H Yip 9 15.0 4-3/4
10 12 MULTIDUTCH M Chadwick · A S Cruz 2 18.0 5
11 1 ALABAMA SONG B Avdulla · J Size 7 20.0 5
12 10 CIRCUIT DUFFY K C Leung · F C Lor 8 83.0 8-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TEAM TEAM FOLKS2. ROBOT LUCKY STAR+0.75L3. SILVER SPURS+0.75L4. KING GLORIOSO+2L5. STAR FIGURE+2.25L6. MEGA BONUS+3.75L7. CIRCUIT GOGO+4.25L8. MASTER PHOENIX+4.5L9. LEAN MASTER+4.75L10. MULTIDUTCH+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROBOT LUCKY STAR (34.6%) finished 2nd — the winner TEAM TEAM FOLKS was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 ROBOT LUCKY STAR 34.6% 2.89 2
2 8 SILVER SPURS 20.8% 4.81 3
3 7 STAR FIGURE 16.8% 5.96 5
4 9 KING GLORIOSO 4.6% 21.69 4
5 4 LEAN MASTER 4.1% 24.11 9
6 1 ALABAMA SONG 4.0% 24.80 11
7 5 MEGA BONUS 4.0% 24.81 6
8 3 MASTER PHOENIX 3.6% 27.71 8
9 6 CIRCUIT GOGO 3.1% 32.09 7
10 12 MULTIDUTCH 1.7% 58.89 10
11 10 CIRCUIT DUFFY 1.4% 70.26 12
12 11 TEAM TEAM FOLKS 1.2% 85.34 1
ROBOT LUCKY STARSILVER SPURSSTAR FIGUREKING GLORIOSOLEAN MASTERALABAMA SONGMEGA BONUSMASTER PHOENIXCIRCUIT GOGOMULTIDUTCHCIRCUIT DUFFYTEAM TEAM FOLKS — won

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 835

PLACE

2 13

8 24.5

11 161.5

QUINELLA

2,11 1,127

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 41.5

2,11 304.5

8,11 769

FORECAST

11,2 3,282

TIERCE

11,2,8 44,764

TRIO

2,8,11 3,075

FIRST 4

2,8,9,11 5,878

QUARTET

11,2,8,9 282,942

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

2/8/2 618

2/8/11 134,479

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,8/2,8,11 1,017,617

4TH DOUBLE

8/2 93.5

8/11 13,150.5