Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 09:20
AEROVELOCITY HANDICAP
Race 10
Race 10 ("AEROVELOCITY HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HAPPY INDEX, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with RISING FORCE second and HEAVING third. The 1.7 favourite RISING FORCE finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAPPY INDEX 1:08.61 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 4.4 | — |
| 2 | 3 | RISING FORCE R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 14 | 1.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | HEAVING B/TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 1 | 20.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | JUBILANT WINNER B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 5 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MOUNT EVEREST M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | RYUI KOKOROE H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 10 | 204.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | MICKLEY TT D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | A TIME FOR US B1/TT M Guyon · K W Lui | M Guyon | K W Lui | 3 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | WOLF COMING B/XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 13 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | CHEAHA TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 118.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | WINNING BUDDIES K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 107.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | ORIGIN OF FORM B- M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 9 | 194.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 11 | 39.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | GIANT SPIRIT B-/TT- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 6 | 104.0 | 13-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FLYING FORTUNE H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | RIDING TOGETHER V2/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RISING FORCE | 28.8% | 3.48 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY INDEX | 25.3% | 3.96 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | HEAVING | 6.6% | 15.09 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | MICKLEY | 6.6% | 15.24 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | WOLF COMING | 6.0% | 16.68 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | JUBILANT WINNER | 5.3% | 18.69 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | MOUNT EVEREST | 5.1% | 19.65 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | A TIME FOR US | 4.9% | 20.29 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | WINNING BUDDIES | 2.7% | 37.71 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.6% | 38.27 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | GIANT SPIRIT | 2.1% | 46.81 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | RYUI KOKOROE | 1.3% | 74.27 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | ORIGIN OF FORM | 1.3% | 74.28 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | CHEAHA | 1.3% | 75.47 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 44
PLACE
2 34.5
3 11.5
4 14
QUINELLA
3,4 36
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 42.5
2,4 87.5
3,4 18.5
FORECAST
4,3 112
TIERCE
4,3,2 800
TRIO
2,3,4 157
FIRST 4
2,3,4,14 284
QUARTET
4,3,2,14 6,012
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
1/3 20.5
1/4 192.5