Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 08:10
THE STEWARDS' CUP
Race 8
Race 8 ("THE STEWARDS' CUP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won, with LUCKY SWEYNESSE second and VOYAGE BUBBLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1:32.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 7 | 1.5 | — |
| 2 | 3 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 47.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 3.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | MY WISH A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 2 | 5.9 | — |
| 4 | 9 | SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 53.0 | — |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 125.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GALAXY PATCH V/TT M Guyon · P C Ng | M Guyon | P C Ng | 4 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | STRAIGHT ARRON B-/V2 D B McMonagle · D A Hayes | D B McMonagle | D A Hayes | 5 | 114.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | RED LION Led early H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 23.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 56.8% | 1.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | MY WISH | 11.1% | 9.05 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | RED LION | 4.2% | 24.02 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | GALAXY PATCH | 3.5% | 28.77 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 3.1% | 32.69 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 2.5% | 40.19 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | BEAUTY JOY | 1.7% | 57.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 1.7% | 59.13 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 15.5
PLACE
1 10.5
2 11.5
3 45.5
QUINELLA
1,3 275
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 14
1,3 64.5
2,3 115.5
FORECAST
1,3 410
TIERCE
1,3,2 1,139
TRIO
1,2,3 135
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 63
1,2,3,9 272
QUARTET
1,3,2,8 1,947
1,3,2,9 5,608
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 102.5
4/3 466.5