Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 16:10

THE STEWARDS' CUP

Race 8

Group 1 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A+3 9 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:32.60
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1:32.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum 7 1.5 —
2 3 LUCKY SWEYNESSE Closed strongly K C Leung · K L Man 8 47.0 1-3/4
3 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP Z Purton · P F Yiu 6 3.9 3-1/2
4 8 MY WISH A Badel · M Newnham 2 5.9 —
4 9 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu 9 53.0 —
6 4 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 3 125.0 5-1/4
7 6 GALAXY PATCH V/TT M Guyon · P C Ng 4 26.0 5-1/2
8 7 STRAIGHT ARRON B-/V2 D B McMonagle · D A Hayes 5 114.0 7
9 5 RED LION Led early H Bowman · J Size 1 23.0 22

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 ("THE STEWARDS' CUP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won, with LUCKY SWEYNESSE second and VOYAGE BUBBLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ROMANTIC WARRIOR—2. LUCKY SWEYNESSE+1.75L3. VOYAGE BUBBLE+3.5L6. BEAUTY JOY+5.25L7. GALAXY PATCH+5.5L8. STRAIGHT ARRON+7L9. RED LION+22L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (56.8%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ROMANTIC WARRIOR 56.8% 1.76 1
2 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE 15.5% 6.45 3
3 8 MY WISH 11.1% 9.05 4
4 5 RED LION 4.2% 24.02 9
5 6 GALAXY PATCH 3.5% 28.77 7
6 3 LUCKY SWEYNESSE 3.1% 32.69 2
7 9 SUNLIGHT POWER 2.5% 40.19 4
8 4 BEAUTY JOY 1.7% 57.27 6
9 7 STRAIGHT ARRON 1.7% 59.13 8
ROMANTIC WARRIOR — wonVOYAGE BUBBLEMY WISHRED LIONGALAXY PATCHLUCKY SWEYNESSESUNLIGHT POWERBEAUTY JOYSTRAIGHT ARRON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 15.5

PLACE

1 10.5

2 11.5

3 45.5

QUINELLA

1,3 275

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 14

1,3 64.5

2,3 115.5

FORECAST

1,3 410

TIERCE

1,3,2 1,139

TRIO

1,2,3 135

FIRST 4

1,2,3,8 63

1,2,3,9 272

QUARTET

1,3,2,8 1,947

1,3,2,9 5,608

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

4/1 102.5

4/3 466.5