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Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 06:35

SOUND PRINT HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 5 ("SOUND PRINT HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TURIN CHAMPIONS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won, with GALLANT EPOCH second and LUCKY MCQUEEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite SUPER DRAGON finished 6th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.64
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 TURIN CHAMPIONS Closed strongly SR 1:21.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes 14 5.8
2 3 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly B/TT M Guyon · K W Lui 6 4.1 1/2
3 11 LUCKY MCQUEEN Closed strongly H/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 1 10.0 3/4
4 14 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V A Badel · D J Hall 8 14.0 1-1/2
5 6 JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly B M Chadwick · P F Yiu 12 41.0 1-3/4
6 7 SUPER DRAGON Closed strongly J McDonald · M Newnham 7 2.5 2
7 12 GOLDEN LUCK B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 2 17.0 2-1/2
8 2 MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 22.0 4-1/4
9 8 DERRYNBLUE H/TT D B McMonagle · C H Yip 4 161.0 4-1/2
10 4 HOLMES A COURT B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 3 40.0 5-1/2
11 9 TOP PEAK XB K Teetan · B Crawford 13 21.0 6-1/4
12 10 LOVEISINTHEAIR TT A Atzeni · J Size 9 77.0 8-1/4
13 13 TAI VICTORY Led early B R Kingscote · K H Ting 11 88.0 10-3/4
14 1 ETERNAL RICHNESS J Orman · P C Ng 5 60.0 13-1/4
0 CELESTIAL STRIDER TT · W Y So
0 RAINBOW WARRIOR CP-/B1/TT · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TURIN CHAMPIONS2. GALLANT EPOCH+0.5L3. LUCKY MCQUEEN+0.75L4. FIGHT TIME+1.5L5. JOLLY BRILLIANT+1.75L6. SUPER DRAGON+2L7. GOLDEN LUCK+2.5L8. MONARCH COUNTY+4.25L9. DERRYNBLUE+4.5L10. HOLMES A COURT+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GALLANT EPOCH (21.4%) finished 2nd — the winner TURIN CHAMPIONS was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 GALLANT EPOCH 21.4% 4.67 2
2 7 SUPER DRAGON 21.3% 4.70 6
3 5 TURIN CHAMPIONS 11.2% 8.93 1
4 11 LUCKY MCQUEEN 9.5% 10.48 3
5 9 TOP PEAK 7.1% 14.06 11
6 2 MONARCH COUNTY 6.4% 15.67 8
7 12 GOLDEN LUCK 6.1% 16.47 7
8 10 LOVEISINTHEAIR 4.0% 25.13 12
9 14 FIGHT TIME 3.9% 25.55 4
10 4 HOLMES A COURT 3.1% 32.59 10
11 6 JOLLY BRILLIANT 2.2% 46.04 5
12 13 TAI VICTORY 1.5% 65.41 13
13 1 ETERNAL RICHNESS 1.4% 73.26 14
14 8 DERRYNBLUE 1.0% 104.75 9
GALLANT EPOCHSUPER DRAGONTURIN CHAMPIONS — wonLUCKY MCQUEENTOP PEAKMONARCH COUNTYGOLDEN LUCKLOVEISINTHEAIRFIGHT TIMEHOLMES A COURTJOLLY BRILLIANTTAI VICTORYETERNAL RICHNESSDERRYNBLUE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 58.5

PLACE

3 16

5 19

11 31.5

QUINELLA

3,5 118.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 46

3,11 83.5

5,11 122.5

FORECAST

5,3 278

TIERCE

5,3,11 2,690

TRIO

3,5,11 526

FIRST 4

3,5,11,14 940

QUARTET

5,3,11,14 17,543

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

2/13/3 475

2/13/5 5,391

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,9,13/3,5,11 18,204

4TH DOUBLE

13/3 74.5

13/5 751.5