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Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 06:05

MR VITALITY HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 4 ("MR VITALITY HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ISLAND BUDDY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with PACKING GLORY second and PERIDOT third. The 2.3 favourite PACKING GLORY finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:08.97
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 ISLAND BUDDY V-/TT- 1:08.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 7 9.5
2 1 PACKING GLORY B-/CP1 Z Purton · P F Yiu 4 2.3 SH
3 9 PERIDOT B Avdulla · D J Hall 2 8.7 1-3/4
4 12 ELEGANT LIFE B/TT1 D Probert · C Fownes 3 27.0 2-1/4
5 8 SUNNY Q TT J McDonald · W Y So 13 7.7 3-1/2
6 10 NOBLE FANS B/TT A Atzeni · J Size 6 15.0 3-3/4
7 2 MASTER PHOENIX B C Y Ho · D Eustace 5 8.8 3-3/4
8 5 RUSSET GLOW TT1 L Hewitson · M Newnham 1 24.0 4
9 7 LITTLE MONSTER H/SR1/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 10 8.7 4-1/4
10 3 GOLDEN WIN K C Leung · K L Man 9 98.0 4-3/4
11 11 GOOD FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 11 76.0 5-1/4
12 4 MULTISUPERSTAR TT1 J Orman · A S Cruz 8 87.0 5-1/4
13 6 SUPREME FEELING L Ferraris · D A Hayes 12 134.0 6
14 14 CIRCUIT DUFFY V M L Yeung · F C Lor 14 64.0 7-1/2
0 THUNDER PRINCE XB/TT · J Richards
0 ACE POWER V/TT · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ISLAND BUDDY2. PACKING GLORY+0.1L3. PERIDOT+1.75L4. ELEGANT LIFE+2.25L5. SUNNY Q+3.5L6. NOBLE FANS+3.75L7. MASTER PHOENIX+3.75L8. RUSSET GLOW+4L9. LITTLE MONSTER+4.25L10. GOLDEN WIN+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PACKING GLORY (29.3%) finished 2nd — the winner ISLAND BUDDY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PACKING GLORY 29.3% 3.42 2
2 8 SUNNY Q 13.1% 7.62 5
3 2 MASTER PHOENIX 9.2% 10.91 7
4 12 ELEGANT LIFE 8.3% 12.08 4
5 9 PERIDOT 7.6% 13.09 3
6 10 NOBLE FANS 6.9% 14.44 6
7 7 LITTLE MONSTER 6.7% 15.02 9
8 13 ISLAND BUDDY 3.7% 26.71 1
9 5 RUSSET GLOW 3.1% 32.11 8
10 3 GOLDEN WIN 2.8% 35.72 10
11 4 MULTISUPERSTAR 2.8% 36.24 12
12 6 SUPREME FEELING 2.6% 38.57 13
13 11 GOOD FORTUNE 2.0% 50.57 11
14 14 CIRCUIT DUFFY 2.0% 51.07 14
PACKING GLORYSUNNY QMASTER PHOENIXELEGANT LIFEPERIDOTNOBLE FANSLITTLE MONSTERISLAND BUDDY — wonRUSSET GLOWGOLDEN WINMULTISUPERSTARSUPREME FEELINGGOOD FORTUNECIRCUIT DUFFY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 95.5

PLACE

1 13.5

9 22.5

13 31

QUINELLA

1,13 138

QUINELLA PLACE

1,9 42.5

1,13 63.5

9,13 129.5

FORECAST

13,1 448

TIERCE

13,1,9 2,351

TRIO

1,9,13 340

FIRST 4

1,9,12,13 1,935

QUARTET

13,1,9,12 33,132

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

2/1 18

2/13 846