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Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 13:30

AMBITIOUS DRAGON HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A+3 10 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 2:00.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 WINNING WING Closed strongly 2:00.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · K W Lui 1 3.6 —
2 8 PRESTIGE GOOD Led early V R Kingscote · P F Yiu 2 2.9 SH
3 5 GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 6.3 3/4
4 4 KARMA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 6 11.0 2-1/4
5 7 BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 3 9.7 2-1/4
6 9 LE ZONDA Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · P C Ng 9 17.0 2-1/2
7 1 KA YING GENERATION PC/TT M Guyon · P C Ng 8 18.0 6-1/2
8 3 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly B1/XB1/TT- H Bowman · D J Whyte 10 56.0 12-1/4
9 6 NOISY BOY TT C L Chau · C H Yip 7 15.0 14-3/4
10 10 EXCELLENCE VALUE CP/TT A Badel · W Y So 5 18.0 16

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("AMBITIOUS DRAGON HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WINNING WING, ridden by H T Mo and trained by K W Lui, won, with PRESTIGE GOOD second and GENTLEMEN LEGACY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PRESTIGE GOOD finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING WING—2. PRESTIGE GOOD+0.1L3. GENTLEMEN LEGACY+0.75L4. KARMA+2.25L5. BRAVEHEARTS+2.25L6. LE ZONDA+2.5L7. KA YING GENERATION+6.5L8. LA CITY BLANCHE+12.25L9. NOISY BOY+14.75L10. EXCELLENCE VALUE+16L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING WING (32.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 WINNING WING 32.9% 3.04 1
2 5 GENTLEMEN LEGACY 14.0% 7.15 3
3 8 PRESTIGE GOOD 12.1% 8.27 2
4 7 BRAVEHEARTS 8.6% 11.57 5
5 4 KARMA 7.2% 13.96 4
6 6 NOISY BOY 6.8% 14.70 9
7 1 KA YING GENERATION 6.3% 15.85 7
8 10 EXCELLENCE VALUE 4.7% 21.15 10
9 3 LA CITY BLANCHE 3.7% 26.76 8
10 9 LE ZONDA 3.6% 27.71 6
WINNING WING — wonGENTLEMEN LEGACYPRESTIGE GOODBRAVEHEARTSKARMANOISY BOYKA YING GENERATIONEXCELLENCE VALUELA CITY BLANCHELE ZONDA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 36.5

PLACE

2 13

5 18

8 14

QUINELLA

2,8 60.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 35.5

2,8 24

5,8 34

FORECAST

2,8 127

TIERCE

2,8,5 298

TRIO

2,5,8 71

FIRST 4

2,4,5,8 143

QUARTET

2,8,5,4 1,653

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,10/2,5,8 2,104

2ND DOUBLE

1/2 124.5

1/8 30