Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 05:30

AMBITIOUS DRAGON HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course A+3 10 runners

Race 3 ("AMBITIOUS DRAGON HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Class 2 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WINNING WING, ridden by H T Mo and trained by K W Lui, won, with PRESTIGE GOOD second and GENTLEMEN LEGACY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite PRESTIGE GOOD finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 2:00.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 WINNING WING Closed strongly 2:00.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · K W Lui 1 3.6 —
2 8 PRESTIGE GOOD Led early V R Kingscote · P F Yiu 2 2.9 SH
3 5 GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 6.3 3/4
4 4 KARMA Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 6 11.0 2-1/4
5 7 BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham 3 9.7 2-1/4
6 9 LE ZONDA Closed strongly TT1 K Teetan · P C Ng 9 17.0 2-1/2
7 1 KA YING GENERATION PC/TT M Guyon · P C Ng 8 18.0 6-1/2
8 3 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly B1/XB1/TT- H Bowman · D J Whyte 10 56.0 12-1/4
9 6 NOISY BOY TT C L Chau · C H Yip 7 15.0 14-3/4
10 10 EXCELLENCE VALUE CP/TT A Badel · W Y So 5 18.0 16

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING WING—2. PRESTIGE GOOD+0.1L3. GENTLEMEN LEGACY+0.75L4. KARMA+2.25L5. BRAVEHEARTS+2.25L6. LE ZONDA+2.5L7. KA YING GENERATION+6.5L8. LA CITY BLANCHE+12.25L9. NOISY BOY+14.75L10. EXCELLENCE VALUE+16L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING WING (32.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 WINNING WING 32.9% 3.04 1
2 5 GENTLEMEN LEGACY 14.0% 7.15 3
3 8 PRESTIGE GOOD 12.1% 8.27 2
4 7 BRAVEHEARTS 8.6% 11.57 5
5 4 KARMA 7.2% 13.96 4
6 6 NOISY BOY 6.8% 14.70 9
7 1 KA YING GENERATION 6.3% 15.85 7
8 10 EXCELLENCE VALUE 4.7% 21.15 10
9 3 LA CITY BLANCHE 3.7% 26.76 8
10 9 LE ZONDA 3.6% 27.71 6
WINNING WING — wonGENTLEMEN LEGACYPRESTIGE GOODBRAVEHEARTSKARMANOISY BOYKA YING GENERATIONEXCELLENCE VALUELA CITY BLANCHELE ZONDA

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 36.5

PLACE

2 13

5 18

8 14

QUINELLA

2,8 60.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 35.5

2,8 24

5,8 34

FORECAST

2,8 127

TIERCE

2,8,5 298

TRIO

2,5,8 71

FIRST 4

2,4,5,8 143

QUARTET

2,8,5,4 1,653

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,10/2,5,8 2,104

2ND DOUBLE

1/2 124.5

1/8 30

← Race 2 Race 4 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 2000m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99