Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 07:05

THE CENTENARY SPRINT CUP

Race 6

Group 1 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A+3 7 runners

Race 6 ("THE CENTENARY SPRINT CUP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KA YING RISING, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with HELIOS EXPRESS second and FAST NETWORK third. Victory came as the 1.0 favourite.

Track detail

Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:07.66

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	1	KA YING RISING 1:07.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes	Z Purton	D A Hayes	4	126 lb	1.0	—
2	2	HELIOS EXPRESS H Bowman · J Size	H Bowman	J Size	1	126 lb	77.0	1-1/4
3	3	FAST NETWORK B/TT J McDonald · C H Yip	J McDonald	C H Yip	2	126 lb	65.0	3-1/4
4	4	RAGING BLIZZARD P B Avdulla · J Size	B Avdulla	J Size	5	126 lb	103.0	3-1/2
5	5	TOMODACHI KOKOROE BO/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes	H Bentley	D A Hayes	3	126 lb	112.0	4-1/4
6	7	LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor	L Ferraris	F C Lor	7	126 lb	174.0	4-1/4
7	6	BEAUTY WAVES TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz	M Chadwick	A S Cruz	6	126 lb	180.0	6-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26

The model's top pick KA YING RISING (50.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	1	KA YING RISING	50.6%	1.97	1	1.0
2	3	FAST NETWORK	11.7%	8.52	3	65.0
3	2	HELIOS EXPRESS	11.4%	8.80	2	77.0
4	4	RAGING BLIZZARD	8.9%	11.26	4	103.0
5	5	TOMODACHI KOKOROE	8.7%	11.48	5	112.0
6	7	LUCKY WITH YOU	6.2%	16.19	6	174.0
7	6	BEAUTY WAVES	2.5%	40.24	7	180.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 10.5

PLACE

1 10.1

2 20

3 15

QUINELLA

1,2 40.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 20

1,3 15.5

2,3 35

FORECAST

1,2 44

TIERCE

1,2,3 75

TRIO

1,2,3 30

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 24

QUARTET

1,2,3,4 145

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

5/1 71.5

5/2 173

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