Sha Tin · 2026-01-25 · 08:45
ABLE FRIEND HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("ABLE FRIEND HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-01-25 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. INVINCIBLE SHIELD, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with YOUNG CHAMPION second and PATCH OF STARS third. The 2.8 favourite PATCH OF STARS finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD 1:09.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | YOUNG CHAMPION B M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 9 | 20.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | PATCH OF STARS TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | GUSTOSISIMO TT M Guyon · A S Cruz | M Guyon | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SWIFT ASCEND B/TT A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 10 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE B E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MUGEN B- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED B-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 68.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PACKING ANGEL XB1/TT- L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 7 | 86.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PATCH OF STARS | 41.4% | 2.42 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | GUSTOSISIMO | 16.1% | 6.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 11.4% | 8.78 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | SWIFT ASCEND | 7.3% | 13.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 5.0% | 20.15 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 4.8% | 20.90 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | PACKING ANGEL | 4.5% | 22.40 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | MUGEN | 3.0% | 33.37 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | CHATEAUNEUF | 2.5% | 39.23 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 2.3% | 42.88 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 1.7% | 58.32 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 39.5
PLACE
1 17
4 14.5
11 39
QUINELLA
1,11 515.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 29.5
1,11 135.5
4,11 91.5
FORECAST
1,11 842
TIERCE
1,11,4 3,325
TRIO
1,4,11 384
FIRST 4
1,4,8,11 398
QUARTET
1,11,4,8 13,667
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/1,4,11 5,534
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 80.5
1/11 115.5