Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 10:40
CONDUIT HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("CONDUIT HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ELEGANT LIFE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by C Fownes, won, with MACANESE MASTER second and KING ALLOY third. The 5.3 favourite MACANESE MASTER finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ELEGANT LIFE B/TT 0:56.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | MACANESE MASTER V Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | KING ALLOY B R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 12 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 6.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | ROBOT KNIGHT V-/B2/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 6 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | NEBRASKAN B/TT D B McMonagle · J Size | D B McMonagle | J Size | 4 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER B-/V1/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CAMP FIRE B-/SR2/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 10 | 78.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SPORTIC WARRIOR CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 141.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 3 | 7.8 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR B/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GLORIOUS RYDER B/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 22.8% | 4.38 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | MACANESE MASTER | 12.8% | 7.80 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | NEBRASKAN | 11.9% | 8.41 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | ALWAYS MY FOLKS | 11.2% | 8.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | ISLAND BREEZES | 9.6% | 10.44 | 12 |
| 6 | 6 | KING ALLOY | 8.6% | 11.57 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SPICY SPANGLE | 6.8% | 14.66 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER | 4.9% | 20.32 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | ELEGANT LIFE | 4.1% | 24.25 | 1 |
| 10 | 7 | ROBOT KNIGHT | 3.8% | 26.46 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | CAMP FIRE | 2.1% | 48.48 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | SPORTIC WARRIOR | 1.3% | 76.14 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 155
PLACE
1 41.5
6 24.5
9 22.5
QUINELLA
1,9 493.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 178
1,9 164.5
6,9 78.5
FORECAST
1,9 1,079
TIERCE
1,9,6 8,683
TRIO
1,6,9 1,326
FIRST 4
1,6,8,9 2,082
QUARTET
1,9,6,8 52,157