Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 14:15
BONHAM HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("BONHAM HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. METRO POWER, ridden by J Orman and trained by D A Hayes, won, with ACE CHAMPION second and MEOWTH third. The 3.2 favourite SPIRIT OF PEACE finished 5th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | METRO POWER 1:09.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 6 | 7.2 | — |
| 2 | 8 | ACE CHAMPION TT R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 1 | 15.0 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | MEOWTH CP/SR/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 7 | 5.1 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | WONDER KIT B L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 3 | 24.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SPIRIT OF PEACE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | OUTGATE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 9.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | LOVE TOGETHER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | YOUNG ARROW CP K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 4 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY TOGETHER TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 10 | 102.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WONDERSTAR B D B McMonagle · Y S Tsui | D B McMonagle | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.3 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | LEAPING STAR M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 130.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 28.6% | 3.49 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | METRO POWER | 18.4% | 5.45 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | MEOWTH | 11.3% | 8.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | OUTGATE | 10.6% | 9.47 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | LOVE TOGETHER | 7.7% | 13.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | WONDER KIT | 5.5% | 18.21 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | WONDERSTAR | 5.4% | 18.38 | 10 |
| 8 | 8 | ACE CHAMPION | 5.2% | 19.11 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | YOUNG ARROW | 4.5% | 22.43 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 1.6% | 63.16 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | LEAPING STAR | 1.3% | 79.74 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 72.5
PLACE
5 24.5
8 44
9 18
QUINELLA
5,8 679.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 209
5,9 70
8,9 137.5
FORECAST
5,8 1,206
TIERCE
5,8,9 4,685
TRIO
5,8,9 939
FIRST 4
2,5,8,9 2,462
QUARTET
5,8,9,2 56,277
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/5 446
6/8 153.5