Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 12:40

THE CRAIGENGOWER CRICKET CLUB CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 10 runners

Race 5 ("THE CRAIGENGOWER CRICKET CLUB CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SIGHT HERMOSO, ridden by D B McMonagle and trained by J Size, won, with KING OF FIGHTERS second and JUMBO TREASURE third. The 2.9 favourite BIENVENUE finished 6th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.20
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SIGHT HERMOSO H 1:09.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) D B McMonagle · J Size 9 9.9
2 10 KING OF FIGHTERS K Teetan · B Crawford 5 12.0 3/4
3 2 JUMBO TREASURE CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 7 7.6 3
4 8 IGOR STRAVINSKY B-/V1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 15.0 3-1/4
5 1 KING MILES B/TT C L Chau · K W Lui 6 10.0 4-1/4
6 3 BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes 1 2.9 4-3/4
7 5 SUGAR SUGAR V/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 3 6.5 5-1/2
8 7 PRESTIGE ALWAYS B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 4 5.4 8
9 9 IGOT TT M L Yeung · C H Yip 8 33.0 8-1/2
10 6 VULCANUS B H Bowman · Y S Tsui 2 29.0 9-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SIGHT HERMOSO2. KING OF FIGHTERS+0.75L3. JUMBO TREASURE+3L4. IGOR STRAVINSKY+3.25L5. KING MILES+4.25L6. BIENVENUE+4.75L7. SUGAR SUGAR+5.5L8. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+8L9. IGOT+8.5L10. VULCANUS+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BIENVENUE (40.9%) finished 6th — the winner SIGHT HERMOSO was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 BIENVENUE 40.9% 2.44 6
2 4 SIGHT HERMOSO 10.3% 9.69 1
3 10 KING OF FIGHTERS 9.4% 10.59 2
4 5 SUGAR SUGAR 7.3% 13.71 7
5 7 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 7.0% 14.20 8
6 2 JUMBO TREASURE 6.3% 15.90 3
7 1 KING MILES 6.1% 16.27 5
8 8 IGOR STRAVINSKY 5.8% 17.23 4
9 6 VULCANUS 5.3% 18.76 10
10 9 IGOT 1.4% 71.53 9
BIENVENUESIGHT HERMOSO — wonKING OF FIGHTERSSUGAR SUGARPRESTIGE ALWAYSJUMBO TREASUREKING MILESIGOR STRAVINSKYVULCANUSIGOT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 99

PLACE

2 25

4 26.5

10 33

QUINELLA

4,10 742.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 131

2,10 151.5

4,10 194

FORECAST

4,10 1,413

TIERCE

4,10,2 7,000

TRIO

2,4,10 1,211

FIRST 4

2,4,8,10 3,683

QUARTET

4,10,2,8 98,336

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

11/6/4 19,439

11/6/10 6,161

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,10/2,4,10 209,039

4TH DOUBLE

6/4 1,676

6/10 279.5