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Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 13:10

BREEZY HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 6 ("BREEZY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SOMELOVEFROMABOVE, ridden by J Orman and trained by C Fownes, won, with VICTOR THE RAPID second and SAME TO YOU third. The 3.4 favourite HAPPY PARK finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE PC 1:09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · C Fownes 6 5.2
2 1 VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 4 8.0 1-1/2
3 9 SAME TO YOU H/P/TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 5 10.0 1-3/4
4 10 RIDING HIGH CP A Badel · D J Whyte 11 4.6 1-3/4
5 8 HAPPY PARK CP K Teetan · B Crawford 3 3.4 3-1/4
6 3 FUN ELITE TT K C Leung · C W Chang 2 6.1 3-1/4
7 7 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 7 14.0 3-3/4
8 5 KING CANNON XB1 R Kingscote · D Eustace 12 82.0 4-1/2
9 2 STARRY SHOW CP M F Poon · D A Hayes 8 157.0 7-1/4
10 11 UP WITH CHARM B/H Y L Chung · K L Man 9 168.0 8
11 6 TOPSPIN KING XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 1 58.0 8-1/2
12 12 FORTUNE WARRIOR XB2/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip 10 49.0 12
0 THE COSMIC POWER TT · C S Shum
0 BEAUTY THUNDER CP/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOMELOVEFROMABOVE2. VICTOR THE RAPID+1.5L3. SAME TO YOU+1.75L4. RIDING HIGH+1.75L5. HAPPY PARK+3.25L6. FUN ELITE+3.25L7. CALIFORNIA DEEPLY+3.75L8. KING CANNON+4.5L9. STARRY SHOW+7.25L10. UP WITH CHARM+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SOMELOVEFROMABOVE (30.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 30.9% 3.24 1
2 8 HAPPY PARK 18.6% 5.38 5
3 1 VICTOR THE RAPID 11.3% 8.88 2
4 3 FUN ELITE 9.8% 10.21 6
5 10 RIDING HIGH 6.8% 14.73 4
6 7 CALIFORNIA DEEPLY 6.6% 15.25 7
7 9 SAME TO YOU 5.0% 20.01 3
8 6 TOPSPIN KING 3.1% 31.89 11
9 5 KING CANNON 3.0% 33.62 8
10 11 UP WITH CHARM 2.0% 50.34 10
11 12 FORTUNE WARRIOR 1.8% 56.65 12
12 2 STARRY SHOW 1.3% 76.47 9
SOMELOVEFROMABOVE — wonHAPPY PARKVICTOR THE RAPIDFUN ELITERIDING HIGHCALIFORNIA DEEPLYSAME TO YOUTOPSPIN KINGKING CANNONUP WITH CHARMFORTUNE WARRIORSTARRY SHOW

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 52.5

PLACE

1 20

4 16.5

9 28.5

QUINELLA

1,4 174.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 60

1,9 101.5

4,9 95

FORECAST

4,1 284

TIERCE

4,1,9 2,370

TRIO

1,4,9 446

FIRST 4

1,4,9,10 567

QUARTET

4,1,9,10 10,372

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

4/1 119

4/4 470.5