Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 12:10
HATTON HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("HATTON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WIN METHOD, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won, with RUN RUN TIMING second and ROMANTIC LAOS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite RUN RUN TIMING finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | WIN METHOD Closed strongly B-/TT 1:39.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 16.0 | — |
| 2 | 10 | RUN RUN TIMING Led early V R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 18.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | VIVACIOUS WIN Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 12 | 5.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 3 | 37.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DASHING MAURISON Closed strongly CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 11 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED H/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 6.9 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 2 | 9.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | DILBAGH B/XB/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 7 | 80.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | SETANTA B/TT A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 6 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | DERRYNBLUE H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 10 | 96.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | WIN EASE TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 8 | 19.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | VERMILION TEMPEST H-/P-/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED | 29.5% | 3.39 | 7 |
| 2 | 10 | RUN RUN TIMING | 16.6% | 6.02 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 16.5% | 6.05 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOOD LUCK WIN | 6.9% | 14.52 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | SETANTA | 6.8% | 14.80 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 4.7% | 21.41 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | DASHING MAURISON | 4.5% | 22.00 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | CELTIC TIMES | 3.7% | 27.23 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | WIN METHOD | 3.3% | 30.43 | 1 |
| 10 | 9 | DILBAGH | 3.2% | 31.56 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | WIN EASE | 2.7% | 37.08 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | DERRYNBLUE | 1.7% | 59.31 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 162
PLACE
1 36
6 44.5
10 14
QUINELLA
6,10 161
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 357
1,10 96.5
6,10 66
FORECAST
6,10 411
TIERCE
6,10,1 8,098
TRIO
1,6,10 1,044
FIRST 4
1,6,7,10 1,156
QUARTET
6,10,1,7 38,633
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
11/6 1,109.5
11/10 41.5