Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 11:40
HATTON HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("HATTON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN BRILLIANT, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won, with STAR ELEGANCE second and WINNING DATA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite AMAZING AWARD finished 4th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 1:39.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 8.2 | — |
| 2 | 8 | STAR ELEGANCE Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1 K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 7 | 40.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | WINNING DATA Closed strongly V K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 8 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD B/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace | D B McMonagle | D Eustace | 6 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | HARMONY GALAXY TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | THE AZURE M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 12 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | TO INFINITY J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 10 | 21.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | DIRIYA Led early L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 3 | 13.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | WAVE GARDEN XB/CP2/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 4 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | KING OF SELECTION B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 11 | 85.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BLOSSOMY B1 · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B/TT · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | AMAZING AWARD | 24.7% | 4.06 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | HARMONY GALAXY | 16.2% | 6.17 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | FORTUNE STAR | 12.3% | 8.12 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | STELLAR SWIFT | 11.9% | 8.42 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | DIRIYA | 8.6% | 11.61 | 10 |
| 6 | 6 | THE AZURE | 6.0% | 16.53 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | GOLDEN BRILLIANT | 5.3% | 18.77 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | TO INFINITY | 4.8% | 20.90 | 9 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING DATA | 4.4% | 22.82 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | WAVE GARDEN | 2.9% | 34.84 | 11 |
| 11 | 1 | KING OF SELECTION | 1.7% | 58.51 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | STAR ELEGANCE | 1.2% | 83.25 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 82.5
PLACE
8 98.5
9 31
11 30
QUINELLA
8,11 2,082.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 563.5
8,11 581.5
9,11 208.5
FORECAST
11,8 3,276
TIERCE
11,8,9 35,356
TRIO
8,9,11 6,319
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 4,949
QUARTET
11,8,9,5 144,582
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,8/8,9,11 391,369
2ND DOUBLE
8/8 241.5
8/11 454.5