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Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 19:40

HATTON HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course C+3 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 GOLDEN BRILLIANT Closed strongly B 1:39.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · C Fownes 9 8.2 —
2 8 STAR ELEGANCE Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1 K C Leung · D J Whyte 7 40.0 N
3 9 WINNING DATA Closed strongly V K Teetan · P F Yiu 8 10.0 1/2
4 5 AMAZING AWARD B/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 6 4.6 1-1/2
5 3 HARMONY GALAXY TT H Bowman · C S Shum 1 7.8 1-3/4
6 6 THE AZURE M F Poon · F C Lor 5 9.6 1-3/4
7 4 FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 12 6.5 2
8 2 STELLAR SWIFT CP/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 2 5.0 3-1/2
9 7 TO INFINITY J Orman · J Richards 10 21.0 3-3/4
10 12 DIRIYA Led early L Hewitson · C H Yip 3 13.0 6
11 10 WAVE GARDEN XB/CP2/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting 4 29.0 6-1/2
12 1 KING OF SELECTION B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 11 85.0 7-3/4
— 0 BLOSSOMY B1 · K L Man — — —
— 0 FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B/TT · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("HATTON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GOLDEN BRILLIANT, ridden by A Badel and trained by C Fownes, won, with STAR ELEGANCE second and WINNING DATA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite AMAZING AWARD finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLDEN BRILLIANT—2. STAR ELEGANCE+0.05L3. WINNING DATA+0.5L4. AMAZING AWARD+1.5L5. HARMONY GALAXY+1.75L6. THE AZURE+1.75L7. FORTUNE STAR+2L8. STELLAR SWIFT+3.5L9. TO INFINITY+3.75L10. DIRIYA+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AMAZING AWARD (24.7%) finished 4th — the winner GOLDEN BRILLIANT was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 AMAZING AWARD 24.7% 4.06 4
2 3 HARMONY GALAXY 16.2% 6.17 5
3 4 FORTUNE STAR 12.3% 8.12 7
4 2 STELLAR SWIFT 11.9% 8.42 8
5 12 DIRIYA 8.6% 11.61 10
6 6 THE AZURE 6.0% 16.53 6
7 11 GOLDEN BRILLIANT 5.3% 18.77 1
8 7 TO INFINITY 4.8% 20.90 9
9 9 WINNING DATA 4.4% 22.82 3
10 10 WAVE GARDEN 2.9% 34.84 11
11 1 KING OF SELECTION 1.7% 58.51 12
12 8 STAR ELEGANCE 1.2% 83.25 2
AMAZING AWARDHARMONY GALAXYFORTUNE STARSTELLAR SWIFTDIRIYATHE AZUREGOLDEN BRILLIANT — wonTO INFINITYWINNING DATAWAVE GARDENKING OF SELECTIONSTAR ELEGANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 82.5

PLACE

8 98.5

9 31

11 30

QUINELLA

8,11 2,082.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,9 563.5

8,11 581.5

9,11 208.5

FORECAST

11,8 3,276

TIERCE

11,8,9 35,356

TRIO

8,9,11 6,319

FIRST 4

5,8,9,11 4,949

QUARTET

11,8,9,5 144,582

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,8/8,9,11 391,369

2ND DOUBLE

8/8 241.5

8/11 454.5