Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 11:10
BREEZY HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("BREEZY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. LUCKY MCQUEEN, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W K Mo, won, with SMART FIGHTER second and THE HEIR third. The 2.2 favourite THE HEIR finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LUCKY MCQUEEN H/TT 1:09.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 10 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 6 | SMART FIGHTER TT- A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 6 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | THE HEIR J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 1 | 2.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | JOKER ORBIT B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | VIVA FIRECRACKER TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | KING GLORIOSO SR/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND TT L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 2 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | LEAN MASTER B-/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 9.4 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | NOBLE FANS B/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 66.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | SUPREME FEELING B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 5 | 37.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | BLAZING BEAM B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 7 | 24.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY BRETHREN XB · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GIDDY UP B-/PC2/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 5 | SKY PHOENIX K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 4 | 14.0 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE HEIR | 37.6% | 2.66 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | LUCKY MCQUEEN | 18.6% | 5.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 9.8% | 10.17 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | FASHION LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.60 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | LEAN MASTER | 6.0% | 16.62 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | KING GLORIOSO | 4.2% | 24.01 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | JOKER ORBIT | 4.1% | 24.16 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | BLAZING BEAM | 4.1% | 24.67 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | SMART FIGHTER | 3.8% | 26.13 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | NOBLE FANS | 3.0% | 33.75 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | SUPREME FEELING | 2.4% | 41.14 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 59
PLACE
2 12
6 53
8 17.5
QUINELLA
6,8 539
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 80.5
2,8 29.5
6,8 157.5
FORECAST
8,6 1,084
TIERCE
8,6,2 2,820
TRIO
2,6,8 391
FIRST 4
1,2,6,8 2,139
QUARTET
8,6,2,1 78,763
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/6 515
1/8 1,114.5