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Happy Valley · 2026-03-11 · 13:45

BREEZY HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C+3 12 runners

Race 7 ("BREEZY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. TEAM TEAM FOLKS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K H Ting, won, with FORERUNNER second and GOLDEN EMPIRE third. The 3.4 favourite THOUSAND SPIRIT finished 9th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 TEAM TEAM FOLKS TT1 1:09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K H Ting 7 8.5
2 10 FORERUNNER CP2/TT A Badel · W K Mo 8 21.0 SH
3 3 GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Ferraris · B Crawford 2 8.9 N
4 2 NORTHERN FIRE BALL TT K C Leung · C H Yip 1 6.5 N
5 11 KIAMA H-/P2 A Atzeni · J Size 5 15.0 1-1/2
6 12 ICONICAL B M Chadwick · J Richards 4 12.0 1-3/4
7 7 WINNING MONEY H/XB Z Purton · K W Lui 10 3.9 3-1/2
8 8 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY CP J Orman · P C Ng 3 30.0 4-1/2
9 5 THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham 6 3.4 4-3/4
10 1 ALWAYS AHEAD H/TT C L Chau · K L Man 11 113.0 5-3/4
11 9 FLASH STAR H/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum 12 25.0 7-3/4
12 4 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/B1/TT- H T Mo · C W Chang 9 111.0 8-1/4
0 SOARING STEED TT · C Fownes
0 MASTER PHOENIX B · D Eustace

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TEAM TEAM FOLKS2. FORERUNNER+0.1L3. GOLDEN EMPIRE+0.05L4. NORTHERN FIRE BALL+0.05L5. KIAMA+1.5L6. ICONICAL+1.75L7. WINNING MONEY+3.5L8. CHEERFUL WONGCHOY+4.5L9. THOUSAND SPIRIT+4.75L10. ALWAYS AHEAD+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING MONEY (27.1%) finished 7th — the winner TEAM TEAM FOLKS was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 WINNING MONEY 27.1% 3.69 7
2 5 THOUSAND SPIRIT 17.2% 5.80 9
3 2 NORTHERN FIRE BALL 11.8% 8.50 4
4 11 KIAMA 10.7% 9.38 5
5 8 CHEERFUL WONGCHOY 6.7% 14.96 8
6 12 ICONICAL 6.5% 15.50 6
7 6 TEAM TEAM FOLKS 6.2% 16.01 1
8 3 GOLDEN EMPIRE 5.1% 19.80 3
9 9 FLASH STAR 3.6% 27.96 11
10 10 FORERUNNER 3.1% 32.21 2
11 1 ALWAYS AHEAD 1.1% 87.42 10
12 4 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 1.0% 99.96 12
WINNING MONEYTHOUSAND SPIRITNORTHERN FIRE BALLKIAMACHEERFUL WONGCHOYICONICALTEAM TEAM FOLKS — wonGOLDEN EMPIREFLASH STARFORERUNNERALWAYS AHEADPRESTIGE SUPERIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 85.5

PLACE

3 29

6 24.5

10 44

QUINELLA

6,10 759

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 120.5

3,10 203

6,10 233.5

FORECAST

6,10 1,205

TIERCE

6,10,3 13,645

TRIO

3,6,10 2,369

FIRST 4

2,3,6,10 3,227

QUARTET

6,10,3,2 83,011

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,9/3,6,10 123,619

6TH DOUBLE

4/6 287.5

4/10 394

TRIPLE TRIO

2,4,10/1,4,9/3,6,10 8,106,106

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,4,10/1,4,9/Any Combination 14,752