Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 10:40
ASTER HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("ASTER HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. GLORIOUS RYDER, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won, with SOARING BRONCO second and DRAGON SUNRISE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite DRAGON SUNRISE finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GLORIOUS RYDER Closed strongly B/TT ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 6 | 36.0 | — |
| 1 | 7 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly H-/P-/TT- ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 2 | 4.4 | — |
| 3 | 10 | DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly P-/XB/B1 Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 3.5 | N |
| 4 | 12 | PERFECTO MOMENTS Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 31.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | TELECOM POWER B Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | CARRYON SMILING Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SMART TRIO B/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 1 | 75.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | WAH MAY WAI WAI B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.1 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | TOP TO SKY XB-/TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 51.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | LUCKY BLESSING Led early CP/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 20.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | GOLD TACK CP- · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ISLAND GOLDEN B/TT · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | STERLING WONGCHOY B D B McMonagle · D J Whyte | D B McMonagle | D J Whyte | 3 | 4.5 | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 19.1% | 5.25 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 14.0% | 7.17 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | PERFECTO MOMENTS | 12.5% | 8.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | SOARING BRONCO | 11.3% | 8.83 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO | 11.1% | 9.05 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | TELECOM POWER | 8.7% | 11.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | CARRYON SMILING | 7.5% | 13.38 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | TOP TO SKY | 6.2% | 16.20 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | LUCKY BLESSING | 3.7% | 26.89 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | GLORIOUS RYDER | 3.6% | 27.60 | 1 |
| 11 | 9 | SMART TRIO | 2.4% | 41.19 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 180
7 22
PLACE
1 106.5
7 17
10 15.5
QUINELLA
1,7 1,645.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 490.5
1,10 491
7,10 30.5
FORECAST
1,7 1,478
7,1 1,265
TIERCE
1,7,10 11,440
7,1,10 7,771
TRIO
1,7,10 2,188
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 8,408
QUARTET
1,7,10,12 126,416
7,1,10,12 88,727