Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 14:15
HYDRANGEA HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("HYDRANGEA HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AURIO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K L Man, won, with STRAIGHT TO GLORY second and STORMING DRAGON third. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AURIO SR/TT 1:08.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 2.3 | — |
| 2 | 10 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY H/TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 2 | 8.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | STORMING DRAGON TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 5 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | POWER KOEPP J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 7 | 22.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ARGENTO OCEAN CP A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 9 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING WROTE TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | LUCY IN THE SKY TT R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | SOVEREIGN FUND H Bowman · B Crawford | H Bowman | B Crawford | 10 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | MATTERS MOST B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 23.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE P- A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 17.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | I CAN H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 96.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 3 | 12.0 | 7-1/4 |
| — | 0 | COPARTNER FLEET XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SUGAR SUGAR V/TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AURIO | 30.1% | 3.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | FLYING WROTE | 14.9% | 6.72 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | LUCKY PLANET | 9.0% | 11.10 | 12 |
| 4 | 10 | STRAIGHT TO GLORY | 8.2% | 12.18 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | STORMING DRAGON | 6.7% | 14.92 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 6.7% | 15.01 | 10 |
| 7 | 8 | POWER KOEPP | 6.0% | 16.57 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 5.3% | 18.99 | 5 |
| 9 | 2 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 4.9% | 20.58 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 4.6% | 21.67 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | MATTERS MOST | 2.1% | 47.66 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | I CAN | 1.5% | 65.01 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 23.5
PLACE
7 14
10 24
11 20.5
QUINELLA
7,10 105.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 47.5
7,11 42.5
10,11 98
FORECAST
7,10 193
TIERCE
7,10,11 860
TRIO
7,10,11 273
FIRST 4
7,8,10,11 797
QUARTET
7,10,11,8 10,840
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/7 144
6/10 57