Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 13:45
DAISY HANDICAP
Race 7
Race 7 ("DAISY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CRIMSON FLASH, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won, with BRAVE STAR second and YOUNG CHAMPION third. Victory came as the 3.5 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CRIMSON FLASH CP-/B2 1:08.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 3 | 3.5 | — |
| 2 | 4 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | YOUNG CHAMPION B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 4.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ROMANTIC SON CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SON PAK FU B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | COLOURFUL KING TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 7 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 54.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 8 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | MAGIC CONTROL B1/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 4 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 17.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | COLOURFUL KING | 37.4% | 2.68 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | CRIMSON FLASH | 12.0% | 8.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 10.5% | 9.49 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | GUSTOSISIMO | 10.0% | 9.97 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | ROMANTIC SON | 9.0% | 11.16 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | MAGIC CONTROL | 7.5% | 13.37 | 9 |
| 7 | 10 | SON PAK FU | 4.1% | 24.41 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 4.0% | 24.82 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | BRAVE STAR | 3.8% | 26.10 | 2 |
| 10 | 5 | CHATEAUNEUF | 1.6% | 60.91 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 35.5
PLACE
4 52
6 15.5
8 16
QUINELLA
4,6 515.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 167.5
4,8 135.5
6,8 32
FORECAST
6,4 765
TIERCE
6,4,8 2,890
TRIO
4,6,8 431
FIRST 4
4,6,7,8 489
QUARTET
6,4,8,7 10,867
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,11,12/4,6,8 49,960
6TH DOUBLE
3/4 93
3/6 66
TRIPLE TRIO
5,6,11/3,11,12/4,6,8 660,740
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,11/3,11,12/Any Combination 1,258