Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 12:40
THE IRELAND TROPHY (HANDICAP)
Race 5
Race 5 ("THE IRELAND TROPHY (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SKY CAP, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C Fownes, won, with RAINBOW SEVEN second and SWAGGER BRO third. The 2.1 favourite RAINBOW SEVEN finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SKY CAP TT 1:09.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 8 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 5 | RAINBOW SEVEN B/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 2.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | SWAGGER BRO V-/TT- A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 4 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | WINNING CHAMPION B1/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | JOLLY COMPANION B/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HOLMES A COURT V/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GRAND MASTERMIND CP-/B1/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 125.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | DIAMOND SPARKLE L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 11 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | AUTOMATED TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 10 | 53.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | KING OBERON B B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | FULL OF LAUGHTER SR/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 7 | 81.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | VIEW OF COSMOS B1/TT1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 1 | 47.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | LITTLE MONSTER H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 7 | FORTUNE GOLDSADDLE H1/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 1 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | RAINBOW SEVEN | 54.1% | 1.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | HOLMES A COURT | 11.7% | 8.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | SKY CAP | 8.7% | 11.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | SWAGGER BRO | 6.0% | 16.70 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | WINNING CHAMPION | 4.6% | 21.74 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | JOLLY COMPANION | 3.8% | 26.44 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | KING OBERON | 2.7% | 36.49 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | VIEW OF COSMOS | 2.7% | 37.25 | 12 |
| 9 | 3 | DIAMOND SPARKLE | 2.5% | 39.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | FULL OF LAUGHTER | 1.3% | 79.68 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | AUTOMATED | 1.1% | 94.15 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | GRAND MASTERMIND | 0.8% | 124.17 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 54
PLACE
5 11.5
6 16.5
11 20.5
QUINELLA
5,6 62
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 27.5
5,11 32
6,11 52
FORECAST
6,5 154
TIERCE
6,5,11 626
TRIO
5,6,11 116
FIRST 4
5,6,11,12 124
QUARTET
6,5,11,12 2,801
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
5/12/5 1,012
5/12/6 11,358
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,12/5,6,11 7,343
4TH DOUBLE
12/5 16.5
12/6 292.5