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Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 14:50

SNAPDRAGON HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 ("SNAPDRAGON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WIN BEAUTY VIVA, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with DO YOUR PART second and MAX QUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite MAX QUE finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (5)
Penetrometer 2.71 #10 GRATIFIDE — Weight Change #7 VIOLET STAR — Code 96 #7 VIOLET STAR — Jockey Change #7 VIOLET STAR — Weight Change #9 STORMI — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:38.72
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 WIN BEAUTY VIVA Closed strongly B1 1:38.72 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size 2 7.1
2 3 DO YOUR PART Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui 4 7.0 N
3 1 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · M Newnham 5 2.5 N
4 8 SO YOU WILL TT A Badel · C Fownes 9 24.0 1/2
5 7 VIOLET STAR Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 3 17.0 1-3/4
6 9 STORMI CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 6 9.4 2
7 11 WITHALLMYFAITH Led early XB-/B/TT1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 4.9 2-3/4
8 10 GRATIFIDE Closed strongly XB R Kingscote · D Eustace 12 105.0 3
9 5 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 7 21.0 3-1/4
10 6 FORTUNATE SON TT M F Poon · W K Mo 10 24.0 3-1/2
11 2 NOISY BOY TT K Teetan · C H Yip 11 88.0 3-3/4
12 4 TOURBILLON PRINCE CP/TT J Orman · C W Chang 8 88.0 5
0 AKERMANIS GOLD · D Eustace
7 SAMARKAND L Hewitson · J Richards 3

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIN BEAUTY VIVA2. DO YOUR PART+0.05L3. MAX QUE+0.05L4. SO YOU WILL+0.5L5. VIOLET STAR+1.75L6. STORMI+2L7. WITHALLMYFAITH+2.75L8. GRATIFIDE+3L9. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS+3.25L10. FORTUNATE SON+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MAX QUE (26.0%) finished 3rd — the winner WIN BEAUTY VIVA was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MAX QUE 26.0% 3.85 3
2 11 WITHALLMYFAITH 21.8% 4.59 7
3 12 WIN BEAUTY VIVA 14.4% 6.95 1
4 9 STORMI 12.2% 8.23 6
5 3 DO YOUR PART 6.0% 16.56 2
6 6 FORTUNATE SON 5.8% 17.20 10
7 5 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 4.1% 24.46 9
8 2 NOISY BOY 2.4% 42.47 11
9 4 TOURBILLON PRINCE 2.3% 43.79 12
10 7 VIOLET STAR 2.0% 49.02 5
11 8 SO YOU WILL 1.9% 51.30 4
12 10 GRATIFIDE 1.1% 87.06 8
MAX QUEWITHALLMYFAITHWIN BEAUTY VIVA — wonSTORMIDO YOUR PARTFORTUNATE SONVIVA GRACIOUSNESSNOISY BOYTOURBILLON PRINCEVIOLET STARSO YOU WILLGRATIFIDE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 71.5

PLACE

1 12.5

3 23.5

12 21.5

QUINELLA

3,12 228

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 37

1,12 33.5

3,12 73

FORECAST

12,3 510

TIERCE

12,3,1 1,777

TRIO

1,3,12 214

FIRST 4

1,3,8,12 802

QUARTET

12,3,1,8 19,759

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

6/7/3 185

6/7/12 760

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

7,10,11/1,3,12 4,689

8TH DOUBLE

7/3 45.5

7/12 210

SIX UP

2,12/5,6/3,12/4,6/7,10/3,12 996

12/6/3/6/7/12 24,738

1 [M Newnham]

1 [Z Purton]