Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 12:10
SHAMROCK HANDICAP
Race 4
Race 4 ("SHAMROCK HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WORLD HERO, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won, with SUPERB KING second and FREE PONY third. The 2.9 favourite SUPERB KING finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | WORLD HERO 1:09.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 4 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | SUPERB KING CP/XB Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 12 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | FREE PONY P J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | 8 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | QUARTZ LEGEND TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GOKO WIN B B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 2 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MARVEL AND GOLD E/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 1 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | LEGEND STAR B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 10 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TRENDY RUSH A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 11 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | ZEPHYR TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | VERY GRATEFUL TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 7 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | MAGIC SUPER M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 185.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 32.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | CELESTIAL STRIDER TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GREEN FIELD PEARL XB1/TT- · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPERB KING | 20.0% | 5.00 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | WORLD HERO | 14.6% | 6.84 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | QUARTZ LEGEND | 14.4% | 6.96 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | VERY GRATEFUL | 10.2% | 9.77 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | LEGEND STAR | 9.2% | 10.83 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | FORTUNE SUPERNOVA | 6.4% | 15.51 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | GOKO WIN | 6.1% | 16.37 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | FREE PONY | 5.9% | 16.92 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | MARVEL AND GOLD | 4.6% | 21.58 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | TRENDY RUSH | 4.2% | 24.01 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | ZEPHYR | 3.0% | 33.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | MAGIC SUPER | 1.3% | 78.02 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 40
PLACE
2 15.5
4 40
12 16
QUINELLA
2,12 55
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 161.5
2,12 23.5
4,12 168
FORECAST
12,2 115
TIERCE
12,2,4 2,036
TRIO
2,4,12 491
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 518
QUARTET
12,2,4,3 10,641
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
5/2 223
5/12 1,254.5