Happy Valley · 2026-03-18 · 11:10
AZALEA HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("AZALEA HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-18 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by M Newnham, won, with FANTASTIC FUN second and THE LION KING third. The winner led throughout. The 3.2 favourite MIGHTY STEED finished 5th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE Wire to wire B 1:38.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 6 | 4.7 | — |
| 2 | 4 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 9 | THE LION KING Closed strongly D B McMonagle · F C Lor | D B McMonagle | F C Lor | 5 | 7.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 1 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED CP Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 3.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | VERMILION TEMPEST Closed strongly H-/P-/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 12 | 16.0 | — |
| 6 | 8 | SHOOTING TO TOP Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 16.0 | — |
| 8 | 7 | INNO SUPER Closed strongly SR/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 9 | 9.1 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | LUCKY FIELD B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 3 | 117.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | COLOURFUL GAN Closed strongly B-/SR1/CP2 J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 11 | 93.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | LESLIE B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 10 | 25.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | REGROWTH WINNER CP/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 2 | 137.0 | 41-1/2 |
| — | 0 | PRECISION HOPE · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SURE JOYFUL TT · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FANTASTIC FUN | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | MIGHTY STEED | 19.7% | 5.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | INNO SUPER | 16.3% | 6.14 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE | 12.8% | 7.83 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | THE LION KING | 8.6% | 11.63 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | AESTHETICISM | 6.4% | 15.72 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | SHOOTING TO TOP | 4.1% | 24.39 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | VERMILION TEMPEST | 4.1% | 24.53 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | LESLIE | 3.4% | 29.27 | 11 |
| 10 | 3 | COLOURFUL GAN | 1.6% | 63.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | LUCKY FIELD | 1.3% | 76.79 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | REGROWTH WINNER | 1.0% | 99.09 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 47.5
PLACE
2 19
4 18
9 25.5
QUINELLA
2,4 178
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 63.5
2,9 68.5
4,9 86.5
FORECAST
2,4 376
TIERCE
2,4,9 2,327
TRIO
2,4,9 423
FIRST 4
2,4,6,9 591
QUARTET
2,4,9,6 11,724
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 912
1/4 141.5
7/2 130.5
7/4 21.5