沙田 · 2019-12-21
第 2場
2019-12-21沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Whyte訓練的INNER FLAME勝出，贏出2。MOON PEAKS獲得亞軍；WONDER BRAHMA獲得季軍。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | INNER FLAME XB1 1.10.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 4 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | MOON PEAKS B/TT H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 3 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | WONDER BRAHMA H1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | LUCKY GUY TT N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 2 | 4.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KA YING EXCELLENT TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | EPTIWINS CP/XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | TREASURE CHEST H-/B1 R Bayliss · P F Yiu | R Bayliss | P F Yiu | 7 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | FORTUNE PATROL B/XB L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 14 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA B T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 8 | 340.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | MERIDIAN TALENT CP1 C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 6 | 52.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | STRONG PROMISE TT1 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 70.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | APOLLOS BOW B- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 9 | 81.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | DRAGON BOLT B1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 77.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 5 | GLORIOUS BUDDY B-/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 13.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 18.4% | 5.45 | 5 |
| 2 | 12 | LUCKY GUY | 18.2% | 5.50 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | WONDER BRAHMA | 11.6% | 8.60 | 3 |
| 4 | 11 | MOON PEAKS | 9.8% | 10.21 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | INNER FLAME | 9.2% | 10.82 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 6.6% | 15.26 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | EPTIWINS | 5.2% | 19.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 5 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 4.7% | 21.10 | 14 |
| 9 | 1 | STRONG PROMISE | 4.7% | 21.37 | 11 |
| 10 | 14 | FORTUNE PATROL | 4.1% | 24.52 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | TREASURE CHEST | 3.0% | 33.06 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | DRAGON BOLT | 1.7% | 58.11 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | COPARTNER ERA | 1.4% | 69.86 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | APOLLOS BOW | 1.4% | 70.94 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 22.5
PLACE
6 11.5
9 74
11 36
QUINELLA
6,11 214.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 114
6,11 74.5
9,11 488
TIERCE
6,11,9 5,417
TRIO
6,9,11 1,478
FIRST 4
6,9,11,12 903
QUARTET
6,11,9,12 18,397
1ST DOUBLE
5/6 177
5/11 82
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15