沙田 · 2020-02-16
第 9場
2020-02-16沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、R Gibson訓練的WELLINGTON勝出，贏出N。BALLISTIC KING獲得亞軍；BE READY獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WELLINGTON 1.09.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 13 | 1.6 | N |
| 2 | 2 | BALLISTIC KING C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 1 | 9.7 | N |
| 3 | 5 | BE READY CP-/B1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 9.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER WISE H-/P2/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 4 | 42.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | BEAUTY ICON B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 11 | 57.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | HALL OF CHAMP J Spencer · D J Hall | J Spencer | D J Hall | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | FLYING BONUS C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 12 | 24.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | WIND N GRASS G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 7 | 29.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | LARSON CP L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 10 | 131.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | HARMONY SPIRIT XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 14 | 59.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | MARVEL DRAGON TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 5 | 307.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | EVEN KEEL H/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 6 | 278.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | LOCKHEED B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 9 | 7.0 | 18 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | WELLINGTON | 28.4% | 3.52 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | BE READY | 16.8% | 5.96 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | LOCKHEED | 13.6% | 7.38 | 14 |
| 4 | 2 | BALLISTIC KING | 11.2% | 8.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 7.4% | 13.58 | 10 |
| 6 | 13 | FLYING BONUS | 4.8% | 20.98 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 3.8% | 26.58 | 12 |
| 8 | 7 | HALL OF CHAMP | 3.6% | 28.14 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | BEAUTY ICON | 2.9% | 35.00 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | LARSON | 2.7% | 36.44 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | WIND N GRASS | 2.5% | 39.58 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPER WISE | 0.9% | 105.49 | 4 |
| 13 | 8 | EVEN KEEL | 0.8% | 125.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | MARVEL DRAGON | 0.7% | 142.05 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 16.5
PLACE
2 20.5
5 24
14 12.5
QUINELLA
2,14 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 80.5
2,14 31.5
5,14 33
TIERCE
14,2,5 515
TRIO
2,5,14 149
FIRST 4
2,5,6,14 924
QUARTET
14,2,5,6 5,376
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
3/2 253.5
3/14 355.5