沙田 · 2020-02-16
第 6場
2020-02-16沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY RUSH勝出，贏出1-1/4。MONGOLIAN KING獲得亞軍；PRIVATE ROCKET獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門MONGOLIAN KING跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY RUSH 後段發力 V 1.22.55 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | MONGOLIAN KING 後段發力 B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 14 | EMERALD SPUR CP/TT G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | COOL TEAM 後段發力 B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED 早段領放 B B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 7 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | EVERYONE'S JOY 後段發力 CP/XB/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THE DRIVE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 314.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SOUTHERN SUPERSTAR XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | ALPHA HEDGE 後段發力 CP H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 59.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | ULTIMATE GLORY V T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 12 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | MR PICASSO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 141.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | PERFECT GLORY L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 6 | 111.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | PACKING JOY B1/SR1/TT1 N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 10 | 185.0 | 17-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 26.8% | 3.74 | 7 |
| 2 | 14 | EMERALD SPUR | 17.7% | 5.66 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | MONGOLIAN KING | 9.5% | 10.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | SOUTHERN SUPERSTAR | 8.6% | 11.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 8.3% | 12.12 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.8% | 12.86 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | COOL TEAM | 4.4% | 22.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 4.4% | 22.90 | 6 |
| 9 | 13 | ALPHA HEDGE | 3.5% | 28.87 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 2.5% | 40.19 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | PACKING JOY | 2.4% | 41.11 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | MR PICASSO | 2.0% | 49.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | PERFECT GLORY | 1.6% | 61.28 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | THE DRIVE | 0.6% | 155.95 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 175
PLACE
1 15.5
2 40
8 23
QUINELLA
1,2 297.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 105
1,8 59.5
2,8 200.5
TIERCE
2,1,8 6,235
TRIO
1,2,8 803
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 667
QUARTET
2,1,8,14 19,048
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A1 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 249
7/2 6,022
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,13/1,4,7/1,2,8 2,575,512
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,13/1,4,7/Any Combination 6,288