沙田 · 2020-02-16
第 2場
2020-02-16沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI BRAVO勝出，贏出1/2。JUDY'S STAR獲得亞軍；JADE PHOENIX獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門JADE PHOENIX跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PING HAI BRAVO 1.10.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 5 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | JUDY'S STAR B- B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 17.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 4 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | THE RUNNER B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 2 | 8.5 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | BABY STORM H/TT J Spencer · L Ho | J Spencer | L Ho | 13 | 64.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | KA YING EXCELLENT CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR V-/B2/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | BRILLIANT H/TT K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 7 | 7.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 292.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | RESOLUTE C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 67.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | DOUBLE TAKE C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 14 | 176.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | BEST SMILE TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 120.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SPARKLING LIFE B- H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 3 | 334.0 | 16-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JADE PHOENIX | 25.6% | 3.91 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | PING HAI BRAVO | 20.1% | 4.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 10.4% | 9.62 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | BRILLIANT | 8.4% | 11.85 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | KA YING EXCELLENT | 7.9% | 12.61 | 7 |
| 6 | 7 | RESOLUTE | 6.0% | 16.81 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | DOUBLE TAKE | 5.8% | 17.22 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | JUDY'S STAR | 5.3% | 18.69 | 2 |
| 9 | 1 | THE RUNNER | 3.8% | 26.21 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | BEST SMILE | 2.5% | 40.60 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | VOYAGE STAR | 1.7% | 59.52 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | BABY STORM | 1.2% | 82.18 | 6 |
| 13 | 12 | XIANG LAN QI | 0.8% | 127.30 | 10 |
| 14 | 10 | SPARKLING LIFE | 0.5% | 219.67 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 30.5
PLACE
4 13
5 13
9 40
QUINELLA
4,9 219
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 20.5
4,9 77.5
5,9 86
TIERCE
4,9,5 1,415
TRIO
4,5,9 170
FIRST 4
1,4,5,9 705
QUARTET
4,9,5,1 16,077
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 133.5
2/9 108.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —