沙田 · 2020-02-16
第 8場
2020-02-16沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由T Piccone策騎、W Y So訓練的TEAM SPIRIT勝出，贏出1-1/4。VALIANT DREAM獲得亞軍；SNAP FIT獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門FANTASY跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT 1.10.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 6 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SNAP FIT B/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | FANTASY B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | GRADE ONE B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | TOYCOON XB1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 3 | 96.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HONEST WAY B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 14 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | MONKEY JEWELLERY G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | ELIGERE CP-/B1 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 126.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SOLOMON'S BAY CP/XB C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 41.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | KUNG FU FIGHTER M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | AFRICAN SKY TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 448.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | NUREMBERG B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 259.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FANTASY | 29.1% | 3.44 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SNAP FIT | 26.1% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | VALIANT DREAM | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI | 6.7% | 14.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | KUNG FU FIGHTER | 4.7% | 21.41 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 4.4% | 22.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.1% | 32.29 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | HONEST WAY | 2.7% | 36.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | GRADE ONE | 2.7% | 36.74 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 2.3% | 42.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | TOYCOON | 1.6% | 63.68 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | ELIGERE | 0.7% | 133.41 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | NUREMBERG | 0.6% | 170.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | AFRICAN SKY | 0.5% | 187.04 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 188.5
PLACE
1 16
3 42.5
4 22.5
QUINELLA
3,4 636
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 113.5
1,4 45.5
3,4 158
TIERCE
3,4,1 5,170
TRIO
1,3,4 615
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 266
QUARTET
3,4,1,13 10,350
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 43.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 237
1/4 19.5