Sha Tin · 2020-02-16
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-16 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TEAM SPIRIT, ridden by T Piccone and trained by W Y So, won by 1-1/4, with VALIANT DREAM second and SNAP FIT third. The 2.4 favourite FANTASY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 12 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 6 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | SNAP FIT B/TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 4.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | FANTASY B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 2.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 14 | GRADE ONE B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 5.9 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | TOYCOON XB1 H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 3 | 96.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | HONEST WAY B1 N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 14 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | MONKEY JEWELLERY G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 5 | 22.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | ELIGERE CP-/B1 L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 10 | 126.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 17.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | SOLOMON'S BAY CP/XB C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 41.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | KUNG FU FIGHTER M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 39.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | AFRICAN SKY TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 13 | 448.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | NUREMBERG B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 9 | 259.0 | 13 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FANTASY | 29.1% | 3.44 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | SNAP FIT | 26.1% | 3.84 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | VALIANT DREAM | 14.7% | 6.80 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI | 6.7% | 14.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | KUNG FU FIGHTER | 4.7% | 21.41 | 12 |
| 6 | 11 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 4.4% | 22.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | TEAM SPIRIT | 3.1% | 32.29 | 1 |
| 8 | 12 | HONEST WAY | 2.7% | 36.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 14 | GRADE ONE | 2.7% | 36.74 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 2.3% | 42.73 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | TOYCOON | 1.6% | 63.68 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | ELIGERE | 0.7% | 133.41 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | NUREMBERG | 0.6% | 170.72 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | AFRICAN SKY | 0.5% | 187.04 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 188.5
PLACE
1 16
3 42.5
4 22.5
QUINELLA
3,4 636
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 113.5
1,4 45.5
3,4 158
TIERCE
3,4,1 5,170
TRIO
1,3,4 615
FIRST 4
1,3,4,13 266
QUARTET
3,4,1,13 10,350
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 43.5
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 237
1/4 19.5