Sha Tin · 2020-02-16
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY GENERATION Closed strongly CP/TT 1.21.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 3 | 1.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | KA YING STAR B/TT J Spencer · A S Cruz | J Spencer | A S Cruz | 7 | 18.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN Led early K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 8.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THANKS FOREVER Closed strongly CP G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 4 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAT THE CLOCK TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RATTAN CP C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 1 | 25.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER B C Y Ho · R Gibson | C Y Ho | R Gibson | 5 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-16 was Group 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY GENERATION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with KA YING STAR second and HOT KING PRAWN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY GENERATION | 47.0% | 2.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAT THE CLOCK | 23.5% | 4.25 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN | 8.6% | 11.58 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | THANKS FOREVER | 8.0% | 12.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 4.6% | 21.66 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | RATTAN | 4.4% | 22.91 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 3.9% | 25.79 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 16.5
PLACE
1 10.1
3 21.5
7 32.5
QUINELLA
1,7 129
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 26
1,7 40.5
3,7 110.5
TIERCE
1,7,3 903
TRIO
1,3,7 184
FIRST 4
1,3,4,7 329
QUARTET
1,7,3,4 3,917
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,8/1,3,7 12,419
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5
6TH DOUBLE
2/1 369
2/7 410.5
WINNING TRAINER
B1 15
B3 —
B4 —
B2 —