Sha Tin · 2020-02-16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH Closed strongly V 1.22.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 9 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET CP/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR CP/TT G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 4 | 5.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COOL TEAM Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED Led early B B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 7 | 8.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY Closed strongly CP/XB/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 14 | 6.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE DRIVE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 3 | 314.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SOUTHERN SUPERSTAR XB C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 1 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE Closed strongly CP H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 59.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY V T Piccone · K L Man | T Piccone | K L Man | 12 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | MR PICASSO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 141.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | PERFECT GLORY L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 6 | 111.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | PACKING JOY B1/SR1/TT1 N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 10 | 185.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-16 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY RUSH, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with MONGOLIAN KING second and PRIVATE ROCKET third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite MONGOLIAN KING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 26.8% | 3.74 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | EMERALD SPUR | 17.7% | 5.66 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING | 9.5% | 10.54 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SOUTHERN SUPERSTAR | 8.6% | 11.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 8.3% | 12.12 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY RUSH | 7.8% | 12.86 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | COOL TEAM | 4.4% | 22.58 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 4.4% | 22.90 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | ALPHA HEDGE | 3.5% | 28.87 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 2.5% | 40.19 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | PACKING JOY | 2.4% | 41.11 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | MR PICASSO | 2.0% | 49.60 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | PERFECT GLORY | 1.6% | 61.28 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | THE DRIVE | 0.6% | 155.95 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 175
PLACE
1 15.5
2 40
8 23
QUINELLA
1,2 297.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 105
1,8 59.5
2,8 200.5
TIERCE
2,1,8 6,235
TRIO
1,2,8 803
FIRST 4
1,2,8,14 667
QUARTET
2,1,8,14 19,048
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (3 more)
5TH DOUBLE
7/1 249
7/2 6,022
TRIPLE TRIO
2,7,13/1,4,7/1,2,8 2,575,512
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,7,13/1,4,7/Any Combination 6,288