Sha Tin · 2020-02-16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER Closed strongly B/XB 1.35.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | EVER LAUGH Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 3 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/XB A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 9 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | DESTIN Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 30.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY Led early H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 7 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET CP G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 13 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER Closed strongly SR2 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 4 | 8.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 4.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 2 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING SATCHMO Closed strongly B T Piccone · D E Ferraris | T Piccone | D E Ferraris | 14 | 28.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER Closed strongly B/H L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 11 | 84.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND H C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 12 | 192.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | HOME WIN K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 6 | 58.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 1 | 326.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-16 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHEERFUL LEADER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with EVER LAUGH second and FORTUNE PATROL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL LEADER | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PARTY EVERYDAY | 19.5% | 5.12 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | TELECOM ROCKET | 11.8% | 8.49 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | RICH AND LUCKY | 11.2% | 8.93 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | WITNESS HUNTER | 10.4% | 9.62 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | SHADOW BREAKER | 7.5% | 13.41 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING SATCHMO | 5.0% | 19.95 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | DESTIN | 3.9% | 25.39 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 1.9% | 51.59 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | HOME WIN | 1.9% | 52.59 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | FAMILY LEADER | 1.4% | 71.19 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 1.4% | 72.48 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 1.0% | 96.97 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 1.0% | 104.40 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 37
PLACE
2 41.5
4 15.5
14 82
QUINELLA
2,4 308.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 104.5
2,14 485
4,14 188.5
TIERCE
4,2,14 6,856
TRIO
2,4,14 1,385
FIRST 4
2,4,9,14 10,203
QUARTET
4,2,14,9 137,276
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 77.5
4/4 124
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19.5
A3 —