Sha Tin · 2020-02-16
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL Closed strongly TT 1.21.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Piccone · Y S Tsui | T Piccone | Y S Tsui | 10 | 30.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY FUN B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 4 | 2.5 | NOSE |
| 3 | 0 | STAR SHINE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 9.1 | NOSE |
| 4 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND Closed strongly G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 13 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | TORNADO TWIST Closed strongly E/TT C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 8 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 2 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL UNION Closed strongly B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 7 | 26.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | HELLO DADDY Led early H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 243.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 5 | 73.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MORETHANLUCKY B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 14 | 17.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | GRACEANDMERCY H/XB L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 1 | 46.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE CP/XB1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 4.6 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN SR1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 137.0 | 17-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-16 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. DRAGON GENERAL, ridden by T Piccone and trained by Y S Tsui, won by NOSE, with HAPPY FUN second and STAR SHINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite HAPPY FUN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY FUN | 27.6% | 3.63 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | UNCLE STEVE | 27.1% | 3.69 | 13 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR PERFORMANCE | 12.7% | 7.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR SHINE | 5.5% | 18.30 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | JOYFUL UNION | 4.5% | 22.06 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | TORNADO TWIST | 4.5% | 22.22 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 3.8% | 26.62 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MORETHANLUCKY | 3.4% | 29.82 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | DRAGON GENERAL | 2.7% | 36.46 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | RACING FIGHTER | 2.3% | 43.19 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 2.2% | 44.61 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 1.6% | 62.14 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | GRACEANDMERCY | 1.3% | 78.74 | 12 |
| 14 | 0 | HELLO DADDY | 0.9% | 112.59 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 308.5
PLACE
4 13.5
7 66.5
11 28.5
QUINELLA
4,7 366.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 127
4,11 55
7,11 339.5
TIERCE
7,4,11 7,162
TRIO
4,7,11 873
FIRST 4
4,7,11,13 1,302
QUARTET
7,4,11,13 46,367
3 PICK 1
A3 38.5
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,5,14/4,7,11 23,105
9TH DOUBLE
14/4 10.5
14/7 396.5
SIX UP
1,7/1,2/1,7/3,4/2,14/4,7 854
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
3/14/4 272
3/14/7 10,198