Sha Tin · 2020-02-16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B 1.22.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 14 | 1.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MY WINNER Closed strongly B T Piccone · R Gibson | T Piccone | R Gibson | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER WINNER Led early H/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 8 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR Closed strongly CP N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 5 | 27.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP Closed strongly H-/P J Spencer · L Ho | J Spencer | L Ho | 12 | 100.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC Closed strongly B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 4 | 6.7 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE B M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 9 | 72.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GALAXY EMPEROR Closed strongly H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 95.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | SO HAPPY Closed strongly B C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 13 | 150.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | YES WE CAN XB/CP1/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 1 | 29.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 54.0 | 11 |
| 14 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 11 | 6.1 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-02-16 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY GIANT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 4-1/4, with MY WINNER second and SUPER WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 30.3% | 3.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 18.7% | 5.35 | 14 |
| 3 | 0 | LIGHTNING STEED | 12.6% | 7.93 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 12.0% | 8.31 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | SUPER WINNER | 6.7% | 14.90 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MY WINNER | 3.2% | 31.44 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 3.1% | 32.67 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | GALAXY EMPEROR | 2.8% | 35.95 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 2.6% | 38.66 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 2.4% | 41.19 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | STAR MAJESTIC | 1.7% | 58.44 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | HAPPY TANGO | 1.7% | 60.30 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | LASTING FRIENDSHIP | 1.6% | 63.62 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | SO HAPPY | 0.7% | 147.20 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 19.5
PLACE
2 10.5
7 27
13 32.5
QUINELLA
2,7 136.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 53.5
2,13 43.5
7,13 193
TIERCE
2,7,13 1,425
TRIO
2,7,13 338
FIRST 4
1,2,7,13 1,880
QUARTET
2,7,13,1 18,165
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,14/2,7,13 107,949
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 17
3RD DOUBLE
4/2 90
4/7 73