沙田 · 2020-07-12
第 10場
2020-07-12沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C L Chau策騎、D J Whyte訓練的PRIVATE ROCKET勝出，贏出HD。ALCARI獲得亞軍；FLYING SWORD獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門HEZA BEAUTY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PRIVATE ROCKET 後段發力 CP/XB 1.21.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.8 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | ALCARI 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | GUY DRAGON 後段發力 XB/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HEZA BEAUTY 後段發力 E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | MERRYGOWIN 後段發力 B M L Yeung · P O'Sullivan | M L Yeung | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 181.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | THE HULK C Schofield · C Fownes | C Schofield | C Fownes | 1 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | LOBO'S LEGEND SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | CRAIG'S STAR 後段發力 B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 13 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | STANLEY PARK 早段領放 V H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 77.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | ULTIMATE GLORY V T H So · K L Man | T H So | K L Man | 2 | 86.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | KASI FARASI K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 3 | 73.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | GREAT TREASURE H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 8 | 30.0 | 4 |
| 14 | 6 | AWE K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 14 | 24.0 | 6 |
| — | 0 | FLYING VICTORY Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | HEZA BEAUTY | 32.8% | 3.05 | 5 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING SWORD | 16.2% | 6.17 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | AWE | 9.1% | 11.01 | 14 |
| 4 | 10 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 7.7% | 13.06 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | CRAIG'S STAR | 7.2% | 13.92 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | THE HULK | 5.6% | 17.94 | 7 |
| 7 | 5 | GUY DRAGON | 5.2% | 19.25 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 4.3% | 23.35 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | ALCARI | 3.1% | 31.95 | 2 |
| 10 | 11 | GREAT TREASURE | 2.4% | 41.12 | 13 |
| 11 | 3 | STANLEY PARK | 2.3% | 43.10 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | KASI FARASI | 1.9% | 53.10 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | MERRYGOWIN | 1.3% | 75.10 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 0.9% | 105.96 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 78.5
PLACE
4 15
8 45
10 24.5
QUINELLA
8,10 646
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 86.5
4,10 68.5
8,10 195
TIERCE
10,8,4 6,403
TRIO
4,8,10 806
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 1,884
QUARTET
10,8,4,5 60,501
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 34.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
1/8 257.5
1/10 1,221.5